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Showing posts with label Multibagger Recommendations. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Multibagger Recommendations. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 15, 2017

Wealth Creators - Stock Picking & Not Timing Create Wealth

Dear Reader,

Are you looking for a long-term winner — a multibagger? It's simple! Buy shares of a company with strong fundamentals and consistently high financial performance.

To evaluate a company’s efficiency and the quality of its management, the two key financial ratios to be keenly observed are return on net worth (RoNW) and return on capital employed (RoCE). Besides, price-to-earnings ratio could be used to determine the market price of a company’s stock and to compare it with peers’ in the same sector. Price to book value measures the value of shareholder's ownership in the company. 

While earnings yield — the quotient of earnings per share divided by the share price — needs to be seen to compare directly against the returns offered by alternative investments such as interest on a bond or savings account, debt-to-equity ratio could measure a company’s financial leverage. A high debt-to-equity ratio generally means that a company has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt. This could result in volatile earnings because of additional interest expenses. 

TTK Prestige, a leader in the Indian kitchenware market, is one of the stock in the list of multibaggers, with compound annual returns of 59.6 per cent in 11 years. In other words, Rs 1,000 invested in 2005 is valued at more than Rs 1 lakh today. A 100-Bagger stock in 11 years. This is just one of the example, there are companies which have given much better returns than TTK Prestige during the same period. Do you know, Symphony has given compounded annual returns of astonishing 102% in last 11 years. Investment of Rs. 1000 in Symphony in Jan 2005 is valued more than Rs. 22 lakhs today. Mind boggling, isn't it? It's a 2200-Bagger stock in last 11 years. These companies have turnaround their performance and hugely benefited from market growth driven by rising consumer spend, offering value added products with strong moat, evolving lifestyle preferences and broad demographic trends.

TTK’s product range and distribution have complemented the strong brand, helping it clock a revenue CAGR of 22.6 per cent in 11 years. The profit has grown at an even higher CAGR of 32.5 per cent, backed by its premium products and a debt-free status, from a debt-to-equity ratio of two in 2004. The efficiency and the quality of its management measured from consistently high RoNW and RoCE helped it become the most valuable company in the past decade. 

Titan Industries, has made its investors 37 times richer in last 10 years, with its profit growing at 27.1 per cent CAGR. However, the top-class performance in the decade may cool a little in the coming years, as demand is expected to slow down, given the tough environment. Among other most valuable mid and large cap companies of the decade are Godrej Consumer, GMDC, SKF India, IndusInd Bank, Bajaj Finance and HDFC Bank.

Stock market investment runs in sector-specific cycles. The stocks in a particular sector get bigger and give better returns as that sector gets popular. For example, between 2002 and 2007, realty, metals and capital goods companies topped the gainers’ list. The demand for housing and strong investment in capital goods and infrastructure projects saw Unitech, JSW Steel, Pantaloon Retail, Sesa Goa, Alstom T&D, Jubilant Life, Crompton Greaves, Siemens and Thermax emerge as top companies on the multibagger list.

If we look into top 200 stocks by market capitalisation with trading history of more than 10 years, we find there are 158 stocks that have outperformed the benchmark index with 10-year CAGR of more than 17.4 per cent each. Of these, as many as 99 stocks have been multibaggers — giving their stakeholders gains of over 10 times on investment made 10 years earlier, or annual average returns between 26.6 and 71 per cent. Of these, 59 have been long-term winners — the companies that have given very good high returns in 10 years as well as during the economic slowdown seen in last couple of years.

Among these 59 stocks, 10 have been consistent performers, that is, 20 per cent CAGR in sales and profit over the past decade as well as in last two consecutive years. These companies have recorded very high financial ratios, both RoNW and RoCE, and given strong earnings yield — significantly higher than the other prevailing investment avenues.

The consistent performers are from the sectors like auto ancillaries, banks, consumer durables, pharmaceuticals, housing finance, fertilisers, FMCG and mining. The drop down list of 59 companies, too, has similar sectoral compositions, with additions from automobiles and capital goods.

This clearly shows the merit in backing fundamentals over trying to time the market. Fundamentals are the most important; one has to analyse management credibility and capability, quality of the product, financial health and competitors’ position and then decide on whether to buy a stock. At the same time, when markets are not doing well, choice of high dividend paying companies and those with healthy cash balance helps. Hence, there is an element of market environment which needs to be considered. 


Not everyone has the time and inclination to analyse stocks and be able to identify potential wealth creators. If that’s the case for you as well, don’t fret. Either identify above average funds or choose services of independent equity research firm and invest in good quality stocks yourself, that outperform the benchmark consistently over a period of 5-10 years and put your money at work. The strategy remains the same — identifying wealth creators and investing in them for long term. 
Saral Gyan Wealth Creators (Since our Inception Year - 2010)
Saral Gyan was founded in the year 2010 with a vision to create wealth by investing in equities, our research team includes working professionals from different streams which are contributing to our success. Its dedication and passion of our team towards equities that make Saral Gyan one of the best independent equity research firm in identifying Hidden Gems (Unexplored Multibagger Small Cap Stocks) and Value Picks (Mid Caps with Plenty of Upside Potential) from small and mid cap space.
Below are some of the stocks which have given excellent returns to our members in the range of 200% to 1800% over a period of last 2 - 6 years.

1. Camlin Fine Sciences Ltd: Camlin Fine Sciences Ltd is one of the India's leading manufacturers and exporters of Bulk Drugs, Fine Chemicals and Food Grade products. The company manufactures active pharmaceutical ingredients (API's), food antioxidants and sweeteners. Company acquired subsidiary of Borregaard in March 2011 which was expected to help Camlin Fine Sciences in realizing better operating and profit margins in coming quarters. This acquisition ensured the easy availability of raw material Hydroquinone manufactured by Borregaard for Camlin Fine Sciences ltd. Company also introduced new products and continuously strengthening its marketing activities throughout Europe and USA. The scrip was trading at 4X FY 2011-12 estimated earnings leaving good scope for stock price appreciation.

Investment Returns: We recommended Camlin Fine Sciences on 27th Mar'11 at Rs 6 (2 stock split adjusted price, actual recommended price was Rs. 60), stock price touched its all time high of Rs. 129 in 2015 and yesterday closed at Rs. 78.85 giving as on date returns of 1214% to our members. It's a 13-Bagger stock as on date in 6 years, we recommended partial profit booking to our members by selling 50% of their holdings and keeping remaining quantity in their portfolio for long term.

2. Cera Sanitaryware: Our equity analysts team identified Cera Sanitaryware in Dec 2011 and recommended our Hidden Gems members to invest in it at a price of Rs. 157. What made us to believe in Cera Sanitaryware as an investment opportunity was its superior products and potential to drive growth by expanding its reach to various geography of the country. Another important factor which impressed our team is significant increase in its market share by growing faster compared to well established competitors like HSIL in the same segment. 

Investment Returns: Stock of Cera Sanitaryware has made all time high of Rs. 3315 recently and closed at Rs. 2775 yesterday giving absolute returns of 1668% to our members since Dec 2011. As on date, Cera is almost a 18-Bagger stock and no profit booking suggested by our team and we suggest our member to continue to hold this stock for long term. Moreover, we reiterated buy on Cera at price range of 400-450 and added it in our Wealth-Builder portfolio 4 years back.

3. Mayur Uniquoters: We recommended investment in Mayur Uniquoters at price of Rs. 56 (2 bonus issues and stock split adjusted price) in March 2012. Company is a market leader in the industry it operates, artificial leather industry offers great growth potential considering huge untapped market and its well accepted replacement products to original leather products. Company was in expansion spree with continuous rise in demand for its products and was distributing healthy interim dividends. Needless to say, nobody wants to kill animals to use their leather products. With continuous research and development, company offers more than 300 variety of artificial leather to its esteem clients like Ford, Chrysler, Hyundai, Nissan, Tata Motors, Maruti, Mahindra, Bata, Relaxo and many more.

Investment Returns: Mayur Uniquoter stock price has made all time high of Rs. 515 in April 2015 and yesterday closed at Rs. 340.15, giving as on date returns of 507% to our members since March 2012, recommended at price of Rs. 56 (2 bonus issues and 1 stock split adjusted price), As on date, Mayur Uniquoter is a 6-Bagger stock for our members. No profit booking suggested by our team yet and we suggest our members to continue to hold this stock.

4. Aurobindo Pharma: Aurobindo Pharma Ltd is one of the largest generic suppliers under ARV contracts, with a 35% market share. The company enjoys high market share as it is fully integrated in all its products apart from having a larger product basket. Among peers, it was trading at a 22% discount to Ipca Laboratories and a 17% discount to Torrent Pharmaceuticals, though it had a stronger product pipeline.Aurobindo Pharma Ltd was also aiming to maintain 25 ANDA filings per year, which should see the product pipeline strengthening further. Its focus on margin would also help it strengthen the bottom line. Moreover, the USFDA clearance would be an immediate booster for the company. Considering all these factors, we recommended Aurobindo Pharma as there was good scope for re-rating of the stock looking at valuations among peer group companies and growth prospects. 

Investment Returns: Aurobindo Pharma was recommended in Jan'2013 at price of 93.5 (bonus issue adjusted price) for target of Rs 137 which was achieved within 12 months and we informed our members to continue holding Aurobindo for long term. We suggested complete profit booking in the stock last year to our Wealth-Builder members around 750 levels, stock has delivered returns of 700% within 4 years.

5. Kewal Kiran Clothing Ltd (KKCL): A company with experience of building strong brands since last 2 decades. As we know, strong brands offers huge competitive moat which yields to better operating and profit margins and help companies to own pricing power for their products. Our analysts missed Page Industries (owns right for selling Jockey in India and other Asian countries) and was looking for similar opportunity with justified valuations. KKCL owns brands like Killer and Lawman and is the only company from apparel industry which stands out in tough scenario with consistent profit when other companies like Provogue, V2 Retail were struggling due to high debt on books.

Investment Returns: KKCL was recommended during Diwali in 2012 at price of 729 for target of Rs 990 and later again reiterated buy at Rs. 1050 for long term. Stock price touched its all time high of Rs. 2380 in 2015 and yesterday closed at Rs. 1660 giving as on date returns of 128% to our members in period of 5 years. Fundamentals are intact, valuations are reasonable and company has strong brand building expertise in apparel industry, hence we suggested our members to stay invested in this stock for better returns in future.

6. TCPL Packaging: TCPL Packaging Ltd., (formerly known as Twenty-First Century Printers Ltd) began commercial production in April 1990. It is one of India's largest manufacturers of printed folding cartons, and one of the few listed packaging companies in India. TCPL Packaging signed a technical collaboration agreement with AR Packaging Group AB, Lund Sweden in Nov 2012. The objective of the agreement was a strategically partnership mainly in the manufacturing, sourcing and sales and marketing in India for solid folding cartons which was expected to augur well for the company. Moreover, TCPL's corrugated cartons plant at Haridwar commenced production from March 2012 to offer innovative packaging solution.

Investment Returns: TCPL Packaging was recommended in Jan 2013 at average price of 70.50 for target of Rs 160. We suggested to hold the stock once target was achieved considering improved fundamentals and reasonable valuations. TCPL stock price made all time high of Rs. 780 in the month of June last year and yesterday closed at Rs. 614.80 giving returns of 772% to our members, almost our 9-Bagger stock in period of 4.5 years.

There are many other stocks which have given returns in the range of 200% to 1500% during last 6 years to our Hidden Gems and Value Picks members, the list includes Sri Adhikari Brothers, Wim Plast, De Nora, Super House, Indag Rubber, WPIL, Acrysil, Kovai Medical, Atul Auto, ABM Knowledgeware, Premier Explosives, Balaji Amines, Rane Brakes, Chemfab Alkalies, Amara Raja, Godrej Consumers, Force Motors, Roto Pumps, Visaka Industries etc. If you wish to invest in fundamentally strong small and mid cap companies which can give you far superior returns compared to major indices like Sensex or Nifty in long term and help you creating wealth, you can join our services like Hidden GemsValue Picks & Wealth-Builder.

The stocks we reveal through Hidden Gems & Value Picks are companies that are either under-researched or not covered by other stock brokers and research firms. We keep on updating our subscribers on our past recommendation suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future outlook.

Time has shown that smart investors have made their fortune by investing in equities in long term. None other asset class can match giving you such extra ordinary returns. Yes, its important for your to invest in right set of companies at right price with medium to long term perspective. If you think to invest in stocks for period of 3 months to 6 months, we suggest you to stay out of stock market because you are not investing, you are betting on volatility of stock market which could be risky.

At Saral Gyan, team of equity analysts keep on evaluating small and mid cap stocks to explore the best Hidden Gems and Value Picks of stock market. Saral Gyan - Hidden Gems and Value Picks are the small and mid cap stocks with high probability to become multi-bagger stocks in future and a path for our investors to create wealth through equity investments in a long run.

Wish you happy & safe Investing. 

Regards, 
Team - Saral Gyan

Friday, May 26, 2017

How Small & Steady Steps can count Big in Wealth Creation

Dear Reader,

A small investment of Rs. 10,000 a month over a period of 10 years can help you create a corpus of Rs. 25 lakhs. Total amount invested over period of 10 years by you will be Rs. 12 lakhs and you will have profit of Rs. 13 lakhs. Not Good? This might look less to you as we are assuming returns of 13.5% per annum. If we assume returns of 27% per annum, your corpus will be Rs. 50 lakh and your profits would be more than 3 times of your actual investments that too when you are investing a nominal amount of Rs. 10,000 on monthly basis. Impressive! Right?

You might think that investing in mutual funds could be one of the way to start SIP (Systematic Investment Plan). However, returns may not be that high which you can generate by directly investing into good quality small and mid cap stocks. Hence, we suggest our members to start SIP by directly investing in stocks every month. What you are suppose to do is to invest your savings in a particular stock once in a month instead of putting it into mutual fund. Next month, same amount would be invested in another stock which at that point of time gives you good medium to long term investment opportunity. This could be an ideal choice for salaried employees as well as businessmen / entrepreneurs, as it will help you to directly invest in fundamentally strong small and mid cap companies to build a diversified portfolio of high quality small and mid cap stocks over a period of time to achieve wealth creation.

Investing in stocks is a great way to build your diversified investment portfolio. It is a simple and time tested approach for accumulation of wealth in a disciplined manner. Simply get some savings from your monthly income and invest in equities for long term. It not only allows you to save every month in a disciplined way but also help you ride through ups and downs of stock market.

Invest some portion of your monthly income in good companies without  timing the stock market and you will definitely get rewarded in long run.

Just take care of Basic Principle of Investing in Equities:

1. Invest in stock market with a long term view (3 - 7 years or more).
2. Invest in companies which are fundamentally strong with scalable business.
3. Follow disciplined approach by Investing regularly in equities.
4. Build a diversified portfolio by investing in small & mid cap companies.
5. Avoid frequent buying / selling of stocks, Its trading not Investing!
6. Review performance of your holding companies at least once a year to decide whether to buy / sell or hold.

Hidden Gems - SIP Returns @ 256.2% Vs Small Cap Index Returns @ 73.2%

It gives us immense pleasure to share that average returns of Saral Gyan 64 Hidden Gems stocks (Our Unexplored Multibagger Small Caps) released since inception (from Sept 2010 to Dec 2016) during last 6 years is 256.2% compared to 73.2% returns of BSE Small Cap Index. Monthly investment of Rs. 10,000 in Hidden Gems till Dec'16 during last 6 years not only allowed you to save Rs. 6.4 lakh but also appreciated your investment by more than 2 times making your total Hidden Gems stocks portfolio of Rs. 22.8 lakh with overall profit of Rs. 16.4 lakh. However, if you would have invested the same amount in Small Cap index, you would be sitting with overall gains of Rs. 4.68 lakh.

Below is our Multibagger Stocks - Hidden Gems performance scorecard since inception  (from Sept 2010 to Dec 2016) which illustrates value of Rs. 10,000 invested every month in Hidden Gem (Unexplored Multibagger Small Cap Stocks) stock of the month vis a vis value of Rs. 10,000 invested in BSE Small Cap Index during last 6 years as on 26th May'17.
We are glad to inform you that 42 Hidden Gems stocks out of 64 during last 6 years have given more than 100% returns to our members. Moreover, 32 stocks out of these 42 have given returns in the range of 200% to 1800%.

Note: Total 64 Hidden Gems stocks were released (till Dec'16) during last 76 months, we have not released Hidden Gems for the months not displayed in the table above.  

We also suggested our members, which earlier recommended Hidden Gems stocks can be added more in their portfolio based on company's strong fundamentals. Ex: Mayur Uniquoter, Cera Sanitaryware, Wim Plast, Camlin Fine Chemicals, Acrysil, Kovai Medical, Superhouse, De Nora, Atul Auto, Control Print and Stylam Industries were some of the stocks which we recommended to our members to accumulate later also at higher price from our initial recommended price. Now profits can be seen as these stocks have given multibagger returns.

As we made most of these reports public, you can access read / download our research reports by clicking on the Read / Download link:

1. SAB TV NETWORK >>> Rec. Date: 05 Sep'10 >>> ROI: 890% >>> Read / Download

2. DE NORA >>> Rec. Date: 07 Nov'10 >>> ROI: 225% >>> Read / Download


3. CAMLIN FINE >>> Rec. Date: 27 Mar'11 >>> ROI: 1243% >>> Read / Download


4. WIM PLAST >>> Rec. Date: 30 Aug'11 >>> ROI: 1522% >>> Read / Download

5. KOVAI MEDICAL >>> Rec. Date: 27 Oct'11 >>> ROI: 1040% >>> Read / Download


6. CERA SANITARY >>> Rec. Date: 24 Dec'11 >>> ROI: 1760% >>> Read / Download

7. SUPERHOUSE >>> Rec. Date: 29 Feb'12 >>> ROI: 212% >>> Read / Download

8. MAYUR UNIQ. >>> Rec. Date: 31 Mar'12 >>> ROI: 560% >>> Read / Download

9. PREMIER EXPLO. >>> Rec. Date: 22 Jul'12 >>> ROI: 490% >>> Read / Download

10. ROTO PUMPS >>> Rec. Date: 05 Aug'12 >>> ROI: 420% >>> Read / Download

11. TIDE WATER OIL >>> Rec. Date: 30 Oct'12 >>> ROI: 193% >>> Read / Download

12. ACRYSIL >>> Rec. Date: 25 Nov'12 >>> ROI: 352% >>> Read / Download

13. BAMBINO AGRO >>> Rec. Date: 25 Dec'12 >>> ROI: 363% >>> Read / Download

14. TCPL PACKAGING >>> Rec. Date: 31 Jan'13 >>> ROI: 755% >>> Read / Download


15. ATUL AUTO >>> Rec. Date: 28 Feb'14 >>> ROI: 197% >>> Read / Download


16. RANE BRAKE >>> Rec. Date: 31 May'14 >>> ROI: 440% >>> Read / Download

17. DYNEMIC PROD. >>> Rec. Date: 29 Jul'14 >>> ROI: 214% >>> Read / Download

18. ASIAN GRANITO >>> Rec. Date: 29 Sep'14 >>> ROI: 261% >>> Read / Download

19. CONTROL PRINT >>> Rec. Date: 30 Nov'14 >>> ROI: 58% >>> Read / Download

20. PLASTIBLENDS >>> Rec. Date: 31 Jan'15 >>> ROI: 110% >>> Read / Download

21. MOLD-TEK PACK >>> Rec. Date: 22 Mar'15 >>> ROI: 171% >>> Read / Download

22. VISAKA IND >>> Rec. Date: 05 Jul'15 >>> ROI: 179% >>> Read / Download

23. CHEMFAB ALKAL. >>> Rec. Date: 06 Sep'15 >>> ROI: 178% >>> Read / Download

24. ULTRAMARINE >>> Rec. Date: 11 Oct'15 >>> ROI: 115% >>> Read / Download

25. STYLAM IND. >>> Rec. Date: 08 May'16 >>> ROI: 240% >>> Read / Download

We are confident that we will continue to hunt best Hidden Gems from universe of small caps by doing authentic, in-depth and unbiased research work and support our members to make educated investment decision.

Through Hidden Gems and Value Picks, we are providing you opportunities to invest in such small / mid cap stocks today. Infosys, Pantaloon, Dabur, Glenmark were the small cap stocks in past and today are the well known companies falling under mid and large cap space.

The stocks we reveal through Hidden Gems & Value Picks are companies that are either under-researched or not covered by other brokers and research firms. We keep on updating our subscribers on our past recommendations suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future growth outlook.

Time has shown that smart investors have made their fortune by investing in equities in long term. None other asset class can match giving you such extra ordinary returns. Yes, its important for you to invest in right set of companies at right price with medium to long term perspective. If you think to invest in stocks for period of 3 months or 6 months, we suggest you to stay out of stock market because you are not investing, you are betting on volatility of stock market which could be risky.

Do contact us in case of any queries, we will be delighted to assist you. 

Wish you happy & safe Investing.

Regards, 
Team - Saral Gyan

Friday, May 19, 2017

6 Steps to Explore Best Stocks for Investment

Below are the 6 Important Steps to Explore Best Stocks for Investment

Step-1: Find out how the company makes money
Step-2: Do a Sector Analysis of the Company
Step-3: Examine the recent & historical performance of the Stock
Step-4: Perform competitive analysis of the firm with its Competitors
Step-5: Read and evaluate company’s Financial statements
Step-6: Buy or Sell

Step-1: Find out how the company makes money

Before you decide to invest in a company’s stock, find out how the company makes money. This is probably the easiest of all the steps. Read company’s annual and quarterly reports, newspapers and business magazines to understand the various revenue streams of the firm. Stock price reflects the firm’s ability to generate consistent or above expectation profits/earnings from its ongoing/core operations. Any income from unrelated activities should not affect the stock price. Investors will pay for its earnings from its core operations, which is its strength and stable operation, and not from unrelated activities. Thus, you need to find out which operations of the firm are generating revenues and profits. If you do not know that you are bound to get a hit in future.

Warren Buffet once said that “if you do not understand how a company makes money, do not buy its stock- you will always end up loosing money”. He never invested even a single penny in technology stocks and yet made billions and billions of dollars both during tech bubble and bust.

Step-2: Do a Sector Analysis of the Company

First is to figure out which sector the stock is in. Then, figure out what all factors affect the performance of the sector. For example, Infosys is in IT services sector, NTPC is in Power sector and DLF is in Real Estate sector. Half of what a stock does is totally dependent on its sector. Simple rule-Good factors help stocks while bad factors hurt stocks.

Let’s take an example of airlines industry. The factors that affect it are fuel prices, growth in air traffic and competition. If fuel prices are high, tickets would be expensive and hence fewer people will fly. This will hurt the airlines sectors and firms equally. This would make the sector less attractive because there would be less scope for growth of the firms.

The idea is to find out the good and bad factors for the sectors and figure out how much they will affect the stock and how. What we are really looking at are reasons that will make stock price good or bad or a company look more or less valuable, even though nothing about the company changes. This will give you a broader view whether the stocks will do well or poorly in the future.

Step-3: Examine the recent & historical performance of the Stock

By performance we mean both operational and financial performance of the company. Take out some time to find out how the company has done in its business over the years. Were there issues with its operations such as labor strike, frequent breakdowns, higher attrition or lagging deadlines? If any company has a history of serious problems, it does not make a good buy because chances are high it may have similar problems again. History is a good predictor of future! It is also extremely important to find out the historical financial performance of the company – growth in revenues, profits (earnings), profit margins, stock price movements etc.

Step-4: Perform competitive analysis of the firm with its Competitors

This is most important step in analyzing a stock. Unfortunately, most of the retail investors do not bother to do this. It takes time to do this step but it worth trying if you don’t want to loose your money. Many investors buy a stock because they have heard about the company or used the products or think companies have excellent technologies. However, if you do not evaluate or compare those features of the company with other similar firms, how will you figure out whether the firm is utilizing them effectively or is better/worse than others? We also need to find out whether company is growing rapidly or slowly or has no growth. We would like to cover couple of financial ratios here in brief and explain how to use them to figure out a good stock.

P/E: Price-to-earnings ratio is the most widely used ratio in stock valuation. It means how much investors are paying more for each unit of income. It is calculated as Market Price of Stock / Earnings per share. A stock with a high P/E ratio suggests that investors are expecting higher earnings growth in the future compared to the overall market, as investors are paying more for today's earnings in anticipation of future earnings growth. Hence, as a generalization, stocks with this characteristic are considered to be growth stocks. However, P/E alone may not tell you the whole story as you see it varies from one company to another because of different growth rates. Hence, another ratio, PEG (P/E divided by Earnings Growth rate) gives a better comparative understanding of the stock.

PEG = Stocks P/E / Growth Rate
We do not want to go into the calculation part as values for P/E are available on internet for most of the companies.
A PEG of less than 1 makes an excellent buy if the company is fundamentally strong. If it is above 2, it is a sell. If PEG for all the stocks are not very different, one with lowest P/E value would be a great BUY.

Step-5: Read and evaluate company’s Financial statements

This is the most difficult part of this process. It is generally used by sophisticated finance professionals, mostly fund managers who can understand different financial statements. However, there are few things that even you should keep in mind. There are three different financial statement- balance sheet, income statement and cash flow statement. You should focus only on balance sheet and cash flow statement.

Balance Sheet: It summarizes a company’s assets, liabilities (debt) and shareholders’ equity at a specific point in time. A typical Indian firm’s balance sheet has following line items:

• Gross block
• Capital work in progress
• Investments
• Inventory
• Other current assets
• Equity Share capital
• Reserves
• Total debt

Gross block: Gross block is the sum total of all assets of the company valued at their cost of acquisition. This is inclusive of the depreciation that is to be charged on each asset.

Net block is the gross block less accumulated depreciation on assets. Net block is actually what the asset is worth to the company.

Capital work in progress: Capital work in progress sometimes at the end of the financial year, there is some construction or installation going on in the company, which is not complete, such installation is recorded in the books as capital work in progress because it is asset for the business.

Investments: If the company has made some investments out of its free cash, it is recorded under it.

Inventory: Inventory is the stock of goods that a company has at any point of time.

Receivables include the debtors of the company, i.e., it includes all those accounts which are to give money back to the company.

Other current assets: Other current assets include all the assets, which can be converted into cash within a very short period of time like cash in bank etc.

Equity Share capital: Equity Share capital is the owner\'s equity. It is the most permanent source of finance for the company.

Reserves: Reserves include the free reserves of the company which are built out of the genuine profits of the company. Together they are known as net worth of the company.

Total debt: Total debt includes the long term and the short debt of the company. Long term is for a longer duration, usually for a period more than 3 years like debentures. Short term debt is for a lesser duration, usually for less than a year like bank finance for working capital.

One need to ask-How much debt does the company have? How much debt does it have the current year? Find out debt to equity ratio. If this ratio is greater than 2, the company has a high risk of default on the interest payments. Also, find out whether the firm is generating enough cash to pay for its working capital or debt. If total liabilities are greater than total assets, sell the stock as the firm is heading for disaster. This debt to equity ratio is extremely important for a company to survive in bad economy. What is happening now-a-days should make this extremely important. Companies having higher debt ratio have got hammered in the stock market. Look at real estate companies- their stocks are down by almost 90% from all time highs made in 2007 - 2008. This is because they have high debt level which means higher interest payments. In case of liquidity crisis and global slowdown, it would be extremely difficult for such companies to survive. Remember, a weak balance sheet makes a company vulnerable to bankruptcy!

Step-6: Buy or Sell

Follow all the steps from 1 to 5 religiously. It will take time but worth doing it. If you do it, you won’t have to see a situation where you loose more than 50% of stock value in a week! In fact you can expect much better returns than any other asset class in medium to long term. Buying or selling will depend on how your stock(s) perform on the above analysis.

If you find it difficult to follow above steps to explore high quality stocks with strong fundamentals, leave it to us. Simply subscribe to Hidden Gems (Unexplored Multibagger Small Cap Stocks) and Value Picks (Mid Caps with Plenty of Upside Potential) and start building your portfolio of high quality small and mid caps to get rewarded in medium to long term.

The stocks we reveal through Hidden Gems & Value Picks are companies that either under-researched or not covered by other stock brokers and research firms. We keep on updating our members on our past recommendation suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future outlook.

Do contact us in case of any queries, we will be delighted to assist you.

Wish you happy & safe Investing. 

Regards, 
Team - Saral Gyan

Tuesday, April 25, 2017

Check Fundamentals & Not Share Price while Buying Stocks!

Dear Reader,

Why is a stock that cost Rs. 50 cheaper than another stock priced at Rs. 10?

This question opens a point that often confuses beginning investors: The per-share price of a stock is thought to convey some sense of value relative to other stocks. Nothing could be farther from the truth.

In fact, except for its use in some calculations, the per-share price is virtually meaningless to investors doing fundamental analysis. If you follow the technical analysis route to stock selection, it’s a different story, but for now let’s stick with fundamental analysis.

The reason we aren’t concerned with per-share price is that it is always changing and, since each company has a different number of outstanding shares, it doesn’t give us a clue to the value of the company. For that number, we need the market capitalization or market cap number.

The market cap is found by multiplying the per-share price times the total number of outstanding shares. This number gives you the total value of the company or stated another way, what it would cost to buy the whole company on the open market.

Here’s an example:

Stock price: Rs. 50

Outstanding shares: 5 Crores 

Market cap: Rs. 50 x 50,000,000 = Rs. 250 Crores

To prove our opening sentence, look at this second example:

Stock price: Rs. 10

Outstanding shares: 30 Crores 

Market cap: Rs. 10 x 300,000,000 = Rs. 300 Crores

This is how you should look at these two companies for evaluation purposes. Their per-share prices tell you nothing by themselves.

What does market cap tell you?

First, it gives you a starting place for evaluation. When looking a stock, it should always be in a context. How does the company compare to others of a similar size in the same industry?

The market generally classifies stocks into three categories:

• Small Cap under Rs. 1000 Crores 

• Mid Cap Rs. 1000 - Rs. 10000 Crores

• Large Cap above Rs. 10000 Crores

Some analysts use different numbers and others add micro caps and mega caps, however the important point is to understand the value of comparing companies of similar size during your evaluation. You will also use market cap in your screens when looking for a certain size company to balance your portfolio. Don’t get hung up on the per-share price of a stock when making your evaluation. It really doesn't tell you much. Focus instead on the market cap to get a picture of the company’s value in the market place.

IMP Note: This article is written to safe-guard our readers who are new to stock market, and make them understand about the actual facts. We keep on receiving mails from our readers regarding the price range of stocks we covers under our Hidden Gems or Value Picks service. The misconception in mind of new investors is regarding the stock price, majority of them believe that if stock price is less, like below Rs. 50 or even below Rs. 10, changes of stock price appreciation is very high and they can buy more no. of shares rather than buying a limited no. of shares of high priced stock. 

We started Hidden Gems annual subscription in late 2010 followed by other services like Value Picks, 15% @ 90 Days and Wealth-Builder, today we have a strong subscriber base covering almost all major states in India and from 20 other countries across globe. During the last 6 years we have interacted with several investors seeking multibagger return from stocks. 

It was 17th Dec 2011, we recommended Cera Sanitaryware as Hidden Gem stock of the month at price of Rs 167, later it went up to Rs. 450 in period of 15 months. Based on strong quarterly numbers, attractive valuations and consistent performance, we recommended buy again in the range of 400-450 which was taken as a surprise by our members as we received several queries and feedback.

Below are some of the common queries of our subscribers which often lead them to opportunity losses.

1. How come a stock priced at Rs 450 can generate Multibagger returns?
2. Cera is almost 3 times moving from 170 to 450, why are you suggesting buy again?
3. Where is the room to generate Multibagger return from this level?
4. I don’t like such high-priced stock, please give me stocks priced below Rs. 100.
5. I want to buy more no. of shares, hence please recommend low price stocks below Rs. 10.

Cera Sanitaryware touched its life time high of Rs 3315 on NSE recently and closed at Rs. 3060.35 today, stock has given as on date returns of 1732% in 5 years from our initial recommendation and 580% return from our reiterated buy at Rs. 450, which was not liked by our subscribers.

The story does not end here, there is a long way to go. Our suggested stocks is with a view-point of 1-3 years at least and not just 6-9 months. If fundamentals of the company are intact, we would not suggest our members to do profit booking or exit. Investors who stayed away just because of high price simply missed yet another opportunity. We continuously recommended Cera during last year to our members at much higher levels.

There is a general misconception among the investors that high priced stocks can't generate multibagger returns. They often think that high-priced stocks are overvalued. In terms of valuation, a 50 rupees stock may not be cheaper than that of a 1000 rupees stock. There is no co-relation between the valuation and market price of a stock. To understand whether a company is small or large, you must look at market capital of the company and not at stock price. To judge valuation you must have to look at Price to earning ratio, Price to book ratio, Price to sales ratio etc.

Lets try to understand this with an example, Tide Water Oil share price was Rs. 1450 on 1st Jan'12 (stock split and bonus issue adjusted price, actual price was 5800). Today the stock price closed at Rs. 6015 giving absolute returns of 315% i.e. more than 4 times within 5 years against double digit return of Sensex in the same period. We suggested Buy on Tide Water Oil and many of our subscribers might not have invested in it thinking that they can buy hardly 2 shares by investing Rs. 12,000 but now those 2 shares are actually 8 shares post stock split and issue of bonus share and share price is also near to the the recommended price.

There are many examples like above by which we can illustrate that there’s nothing called high price. Multibagger returns is not dependent on the current market price of a stock, so don't be afraid of investing in high priced stock. You need to look at fundamentals like PE ratio, PB ratio, ROE, ROCE, debt on books, cash reserves along with other parameters to judge a stock whether it is undervalued or overvalued. We agree with you that judging valuation is not an easy task. So, take expert’s advise when ever required.

Another misconception among investors is to buy more no. of shares. They often think that its better to buy more no. of shares of a low price scrip (ranging below Rs. 10 or say below Rs. 50) instead of buying less no. of shares of high priced stocks. They often think that low price stocks can generate multibagger return quickly. During last 5 years, we have reviewed existing portfolio of our members under our Wealth-Builder (an offline portfolio management service) subscription, we have noticed that many of their portfolio is filled with such low-priced stocks and most of those are in great loss because of poor fundamentals. You may think that a two rupees stock can easily generate multibagger returns even if it touch to Rs. 5 or 6. At the same time don’t forget that the same can even come down to Rs. 0 levels which can evaporate all your investment giving you 100% loss! In terms of valuation a two thousand rupees stock may not be expensive than that of a two rupees stock.

Lets try to understand this also with a simple example, Lanco Infratech is a well-known company from Infrastructure sector. At the beginning of 2010 the stock was around Rs 55. Today it is hovering at just Rs 3.50. Those who purchased that stock during 2010 are in 94% loss! Rs. 1 lakh invested in Lanco Infratech in Jan 2010 is valued at merely Rs. 6,000 today, a complete wealth-destroyer! Isn't it? Those who bought this stock at levels of Rs. 30 and later again at Rs. 10 to average out thinking that stock has came down from all time highs of Rs. 85 are still waiting to get their buying price back. There are many such stocks like Suzlon Energy, GMR Infra, GVK Power and Infrastructure etc which have continuously destroyed wealth of investors over a period of last 5 to 7 years.

We do not state that all low price stocks are wealth-destroyers, it all depends on the fundamentals of the company. So, do ensure that you check out the fundamentals and valuations while investing in stocks instead of looking at stock price. Please get out of the misconception that low priced stocks will fly high faster giving you extra-ordinary returns. Always remember that stock price is just a barometer, actual valuations of a company can be determined by its fundamentals.

If you wish to invest in fundamentally strong small and mid cap companies which can give you far superior returns compared to major indices like Sensex or Nifty in long term and help you creating wealth, you can join our services like Hidden GemsValue Picks & Wealth-Builder.

The stocks we reveal through Hidden Gems & Value Picks are companies that either under-researched or not covered by other stock brokers and research firms. We keep on updating our members on our past recommendation suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future outlook.

Wish you happy & safe Investing. 



Regards, 
Team - Saral Gyan

Sunday, July 14, 2013

5 Hidden Gems: Potential 5-Baggers within 5 Years

Dear Reader,

When overall sentiments are not favourable and lot of negative news are floating around stock market affecting macro factors at global and domestic level, one needs to be brave enough to pick great companies to get rewarded in long term. During such uncertain times, smart investors start hunting for good stocks as long term investment opportunities. 

We completely agree with big bull of Indian stock market Mr. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, who recently said that its best time to invest with long term horizon (4-5 years) to get 5 to 10 times returns from stock market. He added that he won't be afraid to borrow and invest in current market which simply indicates how lucrative it is to invest in Indian equities at current scenario.

Our stock analysts have identified 5 stocks from small cap universe (market cap less than 500 crores) which are expected to multiply your investment by 5 times in next 5 years delivering CAGR of 38%.

Few important parameters which our team has looked into while finalizing the stock selection are as under:

1.  Market leader in the business / segment in which the company is operating in.
2. Scalable business with significant moat (sustainable competitive advantage).
3. Prudent management and consistent increase in share holding of promoters.  
4.  Zero or negligible debt on books with healthy cash flows.
5.  CAGR above 15% with increase in operating and net profit margins in last 5 years.
6. Consistent dividend payment with dividend yield above 2% in last 5 years.
7. Increasing EPS, single digit PE ratio with ROE and ROCE above 20% in last 5 years.
8. Zero or negligible share holdings of Institutions (FIIs & DIIs) to get first mover advantage.

Each parameter is equally important and plays a vital role to ensure that you get healthy returns on your investment with limited downside risk in long term.

A company worthy of our investment must be able to grow its profits consistently, despite competition and tough economic conditions. We emphasize on competition and tough economic conditions because every company has competitors and sooner or later faces tough conditions. During such times, companies fight harder to win customers which usually lead to a fall in prices and thus margins. Only a company with a wide, unbreachable moat – a competitive edge – can maintain and grow its profits even during tough economic conditions. As Warren Buffet said, “The wider a business moat, the more likely it is to stand the test of time.”

Companies without a moat will not usually pass the gold standard of an excellent financial track record. What we need to check is whether this moat is sustainable in the future. If the company has sustained it for 5 years, it most likely will in future.

We are glad to inform you that our special report “5 Hidden Gems – 5 Baggers in 5 Years” will release on 25th July 2012 by our equity analysts. This special report will be emailed to all our paid subscribers so that they can invest in these stocks at current levels and hold them for next 4 to 5 years to reap maximum returns.

Below is an illustration of expected returns (CAGR of 38%) from these stocks in next 5 years to grow your investment by 5 times. Even if we take a very conservative approach and assume that only 1 company achieves CAGR of 38% and other 4 achieves CAGR of 20% in next 5 years, your investment will grow by 3 times in next 5 years which is very much possible considering strong fundamentals and cheap valuations of these small cap companies.


If you want to grab our special report, simply subscribe to Hidden Gems or any of our combo packs. You can avail huge discount up to 60% under Saral Gyan – 3rd Anniversary Offer. Hurry! Last 48 hours, offer closes on 15th July at 11.59 pm. Click here for more details.

So what are you waiting for? Start investing in Hidden Gems and Value Picks of stock market to reap decent returns on your investment. You will also receive our special report, “5 Hidden Gems – 5 Baggers in 5 Years” releasing on 25th July to get stellar returns on your investment.

Do write to us in case of any queries.

Regards,
Team – Saral Gyan.

Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Grab Hidden Gem - Mar'13: Potential Multibagger Small Cap

Dear Reader,

We would like to inform you that Hidden Gem - Mar'13 issue was released on 11th Mar'13 and research report of the company will be shared with all Hidden Gems members during this week. Recent on going market correction is giving a good opportunity to our members to accumulate this stock at CMP.

Few facts about the Company which make it a great investment opportunity for long term investors:

1. Industry to which this company belongs to is expected to grow at a healthy rate of 15% per annum for next 5 - 7 years. Unorganized sector accounts for nearly 60% of the total industry bearing testimony of the growth potential of this sector.

2. Annual sales turnover of the company is more than 6 times to the market cap of the company, market cap to sales is as low as 0.16 where as competitors in peer group with better operating margins is having market cap to sales ratio of 1.03.

3. Promoters have increased their share holding to almost 75% which indicate the confidence of promoters in future prospects of the company. Management has rewarded share holders by paying regular & uninterrupted dividends.

4. Sales turnover of the company has doubled in last 4 years, operating margin was improved from 11 to 13.5 and net profit margin was improved from 1 to 4 during 2008 - 2011 period but later it got impacted due to acquisition of another company which has impacted bottom line of the company.

5. With more than 30 years of experience, company is the pioneer in the business it operates and recent acquisition of a loss making company and turning it around to profitable business within 15 months indicates the professional approach and ability of management to drive their business effectively.

6. Looking at fundamentals, dividend yield of the stock is above 2% and trailing PE of the company is below 6 with price to book value of 0.5 which indicates that there is limited down side risk at CMP, whereas company offers huge upside potential in future to long term investors.

Only concern is debt on the balance sheet (due to acquisition of another company in past) which is almost 2 times the market cap and is a major reason of muted bottom line. But our equity analysts believe that debt could be a concern for short term investors but long term investors who can hold this company for next 2 to 5 years can have a potential multibagger in their portfolio. With professional management behind the company, we expect that this could be a dark horse giving returns of 500% to 1000% in next 3 to 5 years.

Strange! How this can is possible?

Option 1: If company retires its debt by 20-30% in next 3 years (possible as company is making profit year after year even after paying almost 40% of its gross profits as interest on its debt) with increase in sales realisation and decrease in interest rates, company's operating margins will improve going forward and hence the valuations of the company will improve significantly.

Option 2: If management decides to raise funds to retires it debt by issuing warrants or via issuing prefential shares by diluting its equity will help company to improve its profit margins and finally the bottom line.

But as you are aware, high rewards come with high risk. Now if we assume that Industry does not grow with 15% and there could be intensive pressure on margins due to other factors like cheap import from China or increase in raw material prices etc can change the overall scenario.

We are confident that stock have the potential to be a dark horse giving returns of 500% - 1000% in next 3 to 5 years with limited downside risk at CMP. We have considered various important factors like Industry growth potential, past performance of the company, management views for driving business growth and their past track record. Morover, we are positive on the company growth prospects considering results of our primary research work done while interacting with dealers and distributors of the company and also taking feed back on company's product from end user i.e. customers.

Do you own this multibagger small cap stock? Simply subscribe to Hidden Gems annual subscription @ INR 7,500 (12 Hidden Gems issues) to receive complete research report of this company releasing during this week.

On activation of your subscription, you will receive one Hidden Gem stock research report on monthly basis for period of one year. We suggest our members to invest equal capital every month taking SIP route in Hidden Gems which not only help them to take exposure in fundamentally strong small cap stocks but also help them to enter into stocks at right point of time and at right price.

Under Hidden Gems annual subscrption, you will also receive below freebies:

1. Saral Gyan eBook - How to Grow your Savings?
2. Research reports of past 3 Hidden Gems for long term investment
3. Saral Gyan Hidden Gem - Flash Back report - Dec'12 issue

Do not miss on going market correction, its an opportunity to invest in fundamentally strong small cap stocks to reap decent returns in long term. For payment options & facilities, click here.

Avail attractive discounts with our combo packs, click here for details.

Do write to us in case of any queries, we will be delighted to assist you.

Regards,

Team - Saral Gyan.