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Showing posts with label Fundamental Analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fundamental Analysis. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 17, 2023

Why Share Price is Not Important while Buying Stocks?

Dear Reader,

Why is a stock that cost Rs. 50 cheaper than another stock priced at Rs. 10?

This question opens a point that often confuses beginning investors: The per-share price of a stock is thought to convey some sense of value relative to other stocks. Nothing could be farther from the truth.

In fact, except for its use in some calculations, the per-share price is virtually meaningless to investors doing fundamental analysis. If you follow the technical analysis route to stock selection, it’s a different story, but for now let’s stick with fundamental analysis.

The reason we aren’t concerned with per-share price is that it is always changing and, since each company has a different number of outstanding shares, it doesn’t give us a clue to the value of the company. For that number, we need the market capitalization or market cap number.

The market cap is found by multiplying the per-share price times the total number of outstanding shares. This number gives you the total value of the company or stated another way, what it would cost to buy the whole company on the open market.

Here’s an example:

Stock price: Rs. 50

Outstanding shares: 5 Crores 

Market cap: Rs. 50 x 50,000,000 = Rs. 250 Crores

To prove our opening sentence, look at this second example:

Stock price: Rs. 10

Outstanding shares: 30 Crores 

Market cap: Rs. 10 x 300,000,000 = Rs. 300 Crores

This is how you should look at these two companies for evaluation purposes. Their per-share prices tell you nothing by themselves.

What does market cap tell you?

First, it gives you a starting place for evaluation. When looking a stock, it should always be in a context. How does the company compare to others of a similar size in the same industry?

The market generally classifies stocks into three categories:

• Small Cap under Rs. 1000 Crores 

• Mid Cap Rs. 1000 - Rs. 10000 Crores

• Large Cap above Rs. 10000 Crores

Some analysts use different numbers and others add micro caps and mega caps, however the important point is to understand the value of comparing companies of similar size during your evaluation. You will also use market cap in your screens when looking for a certain size company to balance your portfolio. Don’t get hung up on the per-share price of a stock when making your evaluation. It really doesn't tell you much. Focus instead on the market cap to get a picture of the company’s value in the market place.

IMP Note: This article is written to safe-guard our readers who are new to stock market, and make them understand about the actual facts. We keep on receiving mails from our readers regarding the price range of stocks we covers under our Hidden Gems or Value Picks service. The misconception in mind of new investors is regarding the stock price, majority of them believe that if stock price is less, like below Rs. 50 or even below Rs. 10, changes of stock price appreciation is very high and they can buy more no. of shares rather than buying a limited no. of shares of high priced stock. 

We have a subscriber base covering almost all major states in India and from 20 other countries across globe. During the last 10 years we have interacted with several investors seeking multibagger return from stocks. 

It was 17th Dec 2011, we recommended Cera Sanitaryware as Hidden Gem stock of the month at price of Rs 157, later it went up to Rs. 450 in period of 15 months. Based on strong quarterly numbers, attractive valuations and consistent performance, we recommended buy again in the range of 400-450 which was taken as a surprise by our members as we received several queries and feedback.

Below are some of the common queries of our subscribers which often lead them to opportunity losses.

1. How come a stock priced at Rs 450 can generate Multibagger returns?
2. Cera is almost 3 times moving from 170 to 450, why are you suggesting buy again?
3. Where is the room to generate Multibagger return from this level?
4. I don’t like such high-priced stock, please give me stocks priced below Rs. 100.
5. I want to buy more no. of shares, hence please recommend low price stocks below Rs. 10.

Cera Sanitaryware touched its life time high of Rs 6450 last year and currently trading around Rs. 5500, Cera is a 40-Bagger stock in 11 years from our initial recommendation and is a 12X stock from our reiterated buy at Rs. 450, which was not liked by our subscribers.

The story does not end here, there is a long way to go. Our suggested stocks is with a view-point of 1-3 years at least and not just 6-9 months. If fundamentals of the company are intact, we would not suggest our members to do profit booking or exit. Investors who stayed away just because of high price simply missed yet another opportunity. We held Cera for long term and suggested complete profit booking to our members in the stock around 3500 - 4000 levels in 2017.

There is a general misconception among the investors that high priced stocks can't generate multibagger returns. They often think that high-priced stocks are overvalued. In terms of valuation, a 50 rupees stock may not be cheaper than that of a 1000 rupees stock. There is no co-relation between the valuation and market price of a stock. To understand whether a company is small or large, you must look at market capital of the company and not at stock price. To judge valuation you must have to look at Price to earning ratio, Price to book ratio, Price to sales ratio etc.

Lets try to understand this with an example, Rajratan Global Wires share price was Rs. 54.77 on 30 Nov 2017 (stock split and bonus issue adjusted price, actual price was 639). Today the stock price is at Rs. 1225 giving absolute returns of 2137% i.e. more than 22 times within 5 years against double digit return of Sensex in the same period. 

We suggested Buy on Rajratan Global Wires at price of Rs. 639 under Hidden Gems service on 30 Nov 2017 and if any of our subscribers have not invested in the company thinking he/she can get only 15 shares by investing Rs. 10,000 has made a big mistake. Today those 15 shares have increased to 175 shares on account of bonus shares issued by the company in the ratio of 4:3 in 2019 and later stock split of 1 shares into 5 shares (face value of Rs. 10 to Rs 2 per share) in March 2022. And the current share price of Rs. 1225 is still very high for those who looks at low price stock. We advised partial profit booking in Rajratan Global Wires to our Hidden Gems recently at Rs. 1300, booking returns of 2270% (almost 24X) in period of 5 years.

There are many examples like above by which we can illustrate that there’s nothing called high price. Multibagger returns is not dependent on the current market price of a stock, so don't be afraid of investing in high priced stock. You need to look at fundamentals like future growth prospects of the company, PE ratio, PB ratio, ROE, ROCE, debt on books, cash reserves along with other parameters to judge a stock whether it is undervalued or overvalued. We agree with you that judging valuation is not an easy task. So, take expert’s advise when ever required.

Another misconception among investors is to buy more no. of shares. They often think that its better to buy more no. of shares of a low price scrip (ranging below Rs. 10 or say below Rs. 50) instead of buying less no. of shares of high priced stocks. They often think that low price stocks can generate multibagger return quickly. During last 5 years, we have reviewed existing portfolio of our members under our Wealth-Builder (an offline portfolio management service) subscription, we have noticed that many of their portfolio is filled with such low-priced stocks and most of those are in great loss because of poor fundamentals. You may think that a two rupees stock can easily generate multibagger returns even if it touch to Rs. 5 or 6. At the same time don’t forget that the same can even come down to Rs. 0 levels which can evaporate all your investment giving you 100% loss! In terms of valuation a two thousand rupees stock may not be expensive than that of a two rupees stock.

Lets try to understand this also with a simple example, Lanco Infratech was a well-known company from Infrastructure sector. At the beginning of 2010 the stock was around Rs 55. After 10 years, it was hovering at just Rs 1.30 and today its not operational any more. Those who purchased the stock during 2010 are in 100% loss! Rs. 1 lakh invested in Lanco Infratech in Jan 2010 was valued at merely Rs. 2,000 in 2020, a complete wealth-destroyer! Isn't it? Those who bought this stock at levels of Rs. 30 and later again at Rs. 10 or Rs. 5 to average out thinking that stock has came down from all time highs of Rs. 85 are still waiting to get their buying price back. There are many such stocks like Suzlon Energy, GMR Infra, GVK Power and Infrastructure etc which have continuously destroyed wealth of investors over a period of last 5 to 10 years.

We do not state that all low price stocks are wealth-destroyers, it all depends on the fundamentals of the company. So, do ensure that you check out the fundamentals and valuations while investing in stocks instead of looking at stock price. Please get out of the misconception that low priced stocks will fly high faster giving you extra-ordinary returns. Always remember that stock price is just a barometer, actual valuations of a company can be determined by its fundamentals.

If you wish to invest in fundamentally strong micro, small and mid cap companies which can give you far superior returns compared to major indices like Sensex or Nifty in long term and help you creating wealth, you can join our services like Hidden GemsValue Picks & Wealth-Builder.

The stocks we reveal through Hidden Gems & Value Picks are companies that either under-researched or not covered by other stock brokers and research firms. We keep on updating our members on our past recommendation suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future outlook.

At Saral Gyan, team of equity analysts keep on evaluating small and mid cap stocks to explore the best Hidden Gems and Value Picks of stock market. Saral Gyan - Nano Champs, Hidden Gems and Value Picks are the micro, small and mid cap stocks with high probability to become multi-bagger stocks in future and a path for our investors to create wealth through equity investments in a long run.

Please write to us at sales@saralgyan.in / info@saralgyan.in in case of any queries.

Regards,
Team - Saral Gyan

Thursday, January 5, 2023

Rajratan Global Wire - Our 24-Bagger Stock in 5 Years

Dear Reader,

We are pleased to inform you that our Hidden Gem stock of Oct'17 - Rajratan Global Wire Ltd (BSE Code: 517522) is a 24-Bagger stock for our Hidden Gems members within period of 5 years. 

Our team suggested Buy on Rajratan Global Wire Ltd at price of Rs. 54.77 on 30 Nov 2017 (stock split and bonus issue adjusted price, actual recommended price was Rs. 639 with target of Rs. 1250). The company rewarded shareholders by issuing bonus share in the ratio of 4:3 in 2019 and later did a stock split of 1 shares into 5 shares (face value of Rs. 10 to Rs 2 per share) in March 2022. Hence, every 3 shares held by our members have increased to 35 shares. Rajratan Global stock price made all time high of Rs. 1410 and closed at Rs. 997 on Friday giving absolute returns of 1720% i.e. more than 18 times within 5 years against double digit returns of Sensex & Nifty in the same period.

We advised partial profit booking in Rajratan Global Wires to our Hidden Gems members recently at Rs. 1300, booking returns of 2270% (almost 24X) within period of 5 years. Rajratan Global Wires has delivered CAGR of more than 90% to our Hidden Gems members.

Below is the summary of Rajratan Global Wires Ltd shared by our team under Hidden Gem stock - Oct'17 report released on 30 Nov 2017.

1. Company Background

Multibagger Stock Rajratan Global Wire
Established in 1988 by Mr Sunil Chordia, Rajratan Global Wire Ltd (Rajratan Global) is a market leader in supply of tyre bead wire in India. The company along with its subsidiary Rajratan Thai Wire Company (Rajratan Thailand) has around 40% share of the Indian tyre bead wire market. The company earlier entered into the Joint Venture with Gustav Wolf (Germany) for gaining technical know-how, later in 2003 shareholding held by Gustov Wolf was bought back by the promoters. The company commenced international operations in 2008 by setting up a plant in Thailand through a wholly owned subsidiary Rajratan Thai Wire Company. The company is second largest manufacturer (by capacity) of automotive tyre bead wire in India and only player manufacturing tyre bead wire in Thailand. Along with tyre bead wire, the company also manufactures other specialized steel wires (black wires) like rope wires, spring wires, auto cable outer etc. Steel wire rods is the primary raw material used for manufacturing by the company.

Rajratan Global has 2 manufacturing facilities, one in India and another in Thailand.
Rajratan Global Wire Capacity

Rajratan Global is a long term supplier for almost all major tyre manufacturers in India and is the market leader in the automotive tyre segment since 2012. The company has long term standing relationship with marquee clients.

Rajratan Global Clients:
Rajratan Global Wire Cients

Products Description:

i) Tyre Bead Wire 

Tyre bead wire is high carbon bronze coated steel wire used in all kinds of automobile tyres, tyres of earth moving equipments and aircrafts. The main function of bead wire is to hold the tyre on the rim and to resist the action of the inflated pressure which constantly tries to force it off. The bead is the crucial link through which the vehicle load is transferred from rim to the tyre. It significantly affects the safety, strength and the durability of tyres.

Bead wire is a drawn steel wire, which is manufactured from quality wire rods with high carbon content. Bead wire’s surface is coated with copper or bronze which ensures proper adhesion with the used rubber compound. 

Bead wire being a crucial component in any kind of tyre manufacturing, the company always ensure that not only the best of raw-material goes into its manufacturing, but that it also goes through toughest of quality tests. The company specializes in bead wire of customized tensile grades as per the requirements of its clients. Besides bead wire, it also produces high carbon steel wire and uncoated wires of varying specifications for different applications. 

2) High Carbon Steel Wire 

High carbon steel wire is popularly known as black wire. It is a drawn steel wire which is manufactured from quality wire rods with high carbon content. With a wide range of usage, black wire plays a vital role in many industries from automobile and construction to engineering industries. The company manufactures high carbon steel wire in its stateof-the-art plants and employ world-class patented heat treatment processes.

The high carbon steel wire manufactured by the company are of two Grades: 
1. Spring / Rope grade confirming to Grade I, II & III. 
2. Rolling quality / flattening quality grade.

2. Recent Development (30 Nov'17)

i) India’s Tyre Market to witness a CAGR of over 9% during 2016-2021 

India’s tyre market is forecast to witness a CAGR of over 9% during 2016-2021, according to the report of Research and Markets, a leading international market research agency. As per the report, titled “India Tyre Market Forecast & Opportunities, 2021, India ranks among one of the largest tyre markets in the world. Growing automobile sales coupled with expanding automobile fleet are the major factors boosting demand for tyres in the country. 

Though the replacement tyre demand had majority share in 2015, the OEM tyre demand is expected to outpace replacement tyre demand during 2016-2021 with more than 60 tyre manufacturing plants spread across the country. 

Moreover, with favorable inflationary scenario, expanding middle class population and increasing national disposable income, tyre sales across all the automobile segments are expected to grow in the coming years. As per report, presence of major automotive OEMs such as Ford, Hyundai, Honda, Mahindra, Maruti Suzuki, TATA, BMW, etc. has been hugely contributing to the sales of tyres in India. 

Two-wheeler tire segment, which accounts for a volume share of over 50% in the country’s tyre market is also expected to maintain its position as the largest tyre segment over the next five years, adds the report. 

ii) India imposes Anti-Dumping Duty on select Tyres from China 

In Sept 2017, India has imposed an anti-dumping duty on a certain types of unused radial tyre for trucks and buses for the next five years in an attempt to protect the domestic tyre industry from low-cost Chinese imports.

The duty slapped on “new/unused pneumatic radial tyres with or without tubes and/or flap of rubber (including tubeless tyres) having nominal rim dia code above 16 (inch),” ranges between $245.35 to $452.33 per tonne, according to a notification by the Central Board of Excise and Customs.

Earlier, the Directorate General of Anti-dumping and Allied Duties had suggested such as levy on Chinese imports which are dumped in India for a cost below normal value. While the duty does not ban the import of these goods, it is meant as a tool that levels the field between the foreign and domestic industry.

This is a positive development as tyre industry gets nearly 55 percent of its revenue from trucks and buses radial tyre.

3. Financial Performance (30 Nov'17)

Rajratan Global Wire consolidated net profit rises 30.61% in the Sept 2017 quarter

Net profit of Rajratan Global Wire rose 30.61% to Rs 5.76 crore in the quarter ended September 2017 as against Rs 4.41 crore during the previous quarter ended September 2016. Sales rose 24.54% to Rs 90.44 crore in the quarter ended September 2017 as against Rs 72.62 crore during the previous quarter ended September 2016. 

Rajratan Global Wire consolidated net profit declines 43.26% in the June 2017 quarter

Net profit of Rajratan Global Wire declined 43.26% to Rs 3.58 crore in the quarter ended June 2017 as against Rs 6.31 crore during the previous quarter ended June 2016. Sales rose 5.92% to Rs 71.08 crore in the quarter ended June 2017 as against Rs 67.11 crore during the previous quarter ended June 2016.

Rajratan Global Wire Financial Performance

The company performance in Jun’17 quarter was subdued mainly on account of increase in input cost and lower offtake due to GST. However, it managed to post better Sept’17 quarter results by increasing its product prices due to rise in of raw material cost.


4. Peer Group Comparison (30 Nov'17)
Rajratan Global Wire Peer Group Comparison

5. Key Concerns / Risks (30 Nov'17)

i) Steel wire rods is the primary raw material used for manufacturing by the company. Increase in steel prices can adversely impact the operating margins of the company. As per management, the company passes on 60-100 percent of the higher raw material prices to its customers.

ii) Sluggishness in automobile demand globally can impact tyre industry, this can have a direct impact on revenue growth of the company.

iii) Steel wire Industry is highly fragmented and competitive. Any adverse development in market conditions, trade or government policies, foreign exchange fluctuations may impact company’s performance.

6. Saral Gyan Recommendation (30 Nov'17)

i) The growth outlook for Indian tyre industry looks promising with imposing of antidumping duty on a certain types of unused radial tyre for trucks and buses for the next five years and expected rise in domestic automobile sales going forward. This will augur well for the company being a market leader in India with 40% market share in automotive tyre bead wire segment and preferred supplier of more than 15 major tyre manufacturers in India and abroad. Moreover, growth momentum is expected to sustain in Thailand with addition of new clients like Bridgestone. 

ii) With rise in demand, Rajratan Global expanded its Thailand plant capacity from 24,000 MT to 26,400 MT last year. The company has planned further expansion of 9,600 MT over next 2 to 3 years to meet the growing demand for the company’s product. Moreover, the company has also invested in a new warehousing facility which is expected to help Rajratan Thailand to maintain sufficient inventory levels. Increase in minimum stock volume is being prioritized which will ensure efficient delivery performance.

iii) The company’s Thailand operations are in sweet spot. The company is sole manufacturer of tyre bead wire in Thailand and enjoys significant logistic benefits as major tyre manufacturers are located in close proximity. Thailand is one of the largest producers of natural rubber making it a market of choice for global tyre manufacturers. Presently there are around 20 tyre manufacturers in Thailand out of which 5 are Japanese and Taiwanese, providing good opportunity for Rajratan. The company is preferred supplier of Global OEM’s, major Japanese clients includes Sumitomo, Bridgestone and Yokohama. Recently, the company gets into agreement with Bridgestone and expect good revenue growth with rise in orders in coming quarters.

iv) The company continue to target 100% share of business in Thailand, it’s a sole supplier to companies such as Otani Radial, ND Rubber, Siam Rubber, Hihero, Union, BKF & Camel. Moreover, the company is continuously growing its exports market, it’s a largest supplier to the Sri Lanka tyre market with strong foot hold in other South East Asian countries like Vietnam and Malaysia.

v) Rajratan Global has registered sales CAGR of 2.8% and profit CAGR of 45.2% with ROE of 12.9% over last 5 years. The company has reduced its debt significantly over last couple of years with increase in operating margins.
Rajratan Global Wire Key Financial Ratio

vi) Rajratan Global has experienced core management team with strong Industry connect. Mr. Sunil Chordia is the Founder and MD of the company. He steered Rajratan Global towards significant growth in the tyre bead wire business and helped the company receive international approvals in short span of time. He possess over 27 years of experience and holds BSc, DCMA and MBA (finance) degrees. Mr. Yashovardhan Chordia looks after Thailand operations. He has worked as consultant for 3 years at Levers for change, he has experience in working on turn around projects for various sectors like Steel, Refinery, Refractory and Plastic.

vii) As of Sept’17, promoter’s shareholding in the company is at 63% out of which 16.41% shares is pledged. Promoters increased their shareholding by 0.72% in Sept’17 quarter, promoter’s shareholding in Jun’17 quarter was at 62.28%. Institution shareholding in the company is at 7.86%.

viii) The company is paying regular dividend since 2007. The company has paid dividend even during the years when it was in losses. The dividend yield is at 0.23%. 

ix) As per our estimates, Rajratan Global can deliver PAT of 21.71 crores in FY17-18 and Rs. 27.98 crores in FY18-19 with annualized EPS of Rs 49.89 and Rs. 64.32 respectively. At current price of 639, stock is available at forward P/E multiple of 9.9X based on FY18-19 earnings. Company’s valuation looks attractive considering strong earning visibility on account of planned expansion & robust growth outlook for tyre industry.

x) On equity of Rs. 4.35 crore, the estimated annualized EPS for FY18-19 works out to Rs. 64.32 and the Book Value per share is Rs. 244. At current market price of Rs. 639, stock price to book value is 2.62. 

Imposition of anti-dumping duty for 5 years and robust growth outlook of automobiles is expected to augur well for Indian tyre manufacturers in medium to long term. Considering company’s leadership position in domestic tyre bead wire market, continuity in growth momentum in its Thailand business with addition of new clients, planned expansion over 3 years to meet growing demand and attractive valuations of the company with comfortable debt level, Saral Gyan team recommends “Buy” on Rajratan Global Wire Ltd at current market price of Rs. 639 for target of Rs. 1250 over a period of 12 to 24 months. 

Buying Strategy:
  • 70% at current market price of 639 
  • 30% at price range of 520 - 550 (in case of correction in stock price in near term) 
Portfolio Allocation: 3% of your equity portfolio.

To Read / Download Saral Gyan Hidden Gem - Oct'17 Research Report - Click Here

Rajratan Global Wire Ltd is 1 out of those 65 multibagger stocks which have given returns in the range of more 200% to 9900% returns to our subscribers in period of 3 to 10 years. Team of equity analysts at Saral Gyan put lot of efforts & smart work to identify Hidden Gems (Unexplored Multibagger Small Cap Stocks) and Value Picks (Mid Caps with Plenty of Upside Potential) which not only grow your capital at a healthy rate but also ensures protection of your capital during market downturn.

Also Read : Hidden Gems SIP Returns of 395% Vs Small Cap Index returns of 181%

Through Hidden Gems and Value Picks, we are providing you opportunities to invest in such small / mid cap stocks today. Infosys, Pantaloon, Dabur, Glenmark were the small cap stocks in past and today are the well known companies falling under mid and large cap space.

The stocks we reveal through Hidden Gems & Value Picks are companies that are either under-researched or not covered by other brokers and research firms. We keep on updating our subscribers on our past recommendations suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future growth outlook.

Time has shown that smart investors have made their fortune by investing in equities in long term. None other asset class can match giving you such extra ordinary returns. Yes, its important for you to invest in right set of companies at right price with medium to long term perspective. If you think to invest in stocks for period of 6 to 12 months, we suggest you to stay out of stock market because you are not investing, you are betting on volatility of stock market which could be risky. Subscribe to Hidden Gems & Value Picks and start investing systematically keeping a real long term view.

Do write to us at info@saralgyan.in in case of any queries, we will be delighted to assist you.

Team - Saral Gyan

Thursday, December 29, 2022

Hidden Gem - Pix Transmission - ROI of 100% in 18 Months

Dear Reader,

We are pleased to share that we released our Hidden Gem Report on Pix Transmissions on 23rd May 2021 having market capital of 600 crores with multibagger potential. We recommended the stock at price of Rs. 441 for target of Rs 800, we are glad to inform you that the company has already achieved its target price within one year. 

Pix Transmission stock made all time high of Rs. 1174 at beginning of this year delivering maximum returns of 165%. Today, Pix Transmission stock price closed at Rs. 867 and is already a 2-Bagger stock for our Hidden Gems members.

Below is the summary of Pix Transmission Ltd Report released by our team as Hidden Gem Stock on 23rd May 2021.

1. Company Background

Pix Transmissions Multibagger Hidden GemIncorporated in July, 1981, Pix Transmission Limited is a public limited company promoted by Mr. Amarpal S Sethi (Chairman and Managing Director) and is engaged in the manufacturing of mechanical power transmission solutions like rubber V-belts, cut edge belts, ribbed belts, synchronous belts, timing belts etc.

Pix Transmission is among the most reliable manufacturers in the global Mechanical Power Transmission industry with an extensive range of high-performance V-Belts, Timing and Poly-V belts to suit a wide array of Industrial, Agricultural, Lawn & Garden and Automotive applications. The company has state-of-the-art development, manufacturing & testing facilities to ensure highly reliable solutions for almost all applications involving Rubber Transmissions Belts, in compliance with all international standards and a host of Global Quality Certifications.

The global credentials of the company are evident by its operations in India, Europe and the Middle-East, in addition to over 250 committed Channel Partners in over 100 countries worldwide.
Pix Transmissions Stock Analysis
Considering its global customer base, Pix Transmission has backed its products by building an impressive support infrastructure in several key markets across the globe including the UK, Germany, and UAE. Each of these locations houses a Distribution Centre and is equipped to provide technical, commercial, and logistical support. PIX is perhaps among a few global companies in its Industry to feature a high level of infrastructure outside the home country.

Pix Transmission is promoted by Mr. Amarpal S Sethi (Chairman and Managing Director). He has five decades of experience in the mechanical power transmissions space. There are two manufacturing units of the company located at Hingna and Nagalwadi & an automated rubber mixing facility at Nagalwadi in Nagpur, Maharashtra. Under his able guidance, Pix Transmission has become as one of the major players in the V-belt industry. The day-to day operations of the company are managed by a team of qualified and experienced professionals headed by Mr. Sonepal S. Sethi (Joint Managing Director) having vast experience in the V-belt industry.

Pix Product Range:  

Pix Transmissions Multibagger Product Range

Application Industries:

Pix Transmissions Stock Report Analysis

2. Recent Developments (23 May 2021)

i) Pix Transmission kicks off major expansion for capacity enhancement – Apr 2021

The company is expanding its value added product range and plans to significantly enhance manufacturing capacity for the same with a view to meet market demand for the foreseeable future.

Pix Transmission has commenced the first phase of its belt capacity expansion at its Nagpur facility. The capacity expansion would not only help meet the growing global demand for Pix Belts, but also results in improved efficiency while leveraging advanced manufacturing technology to achieve the company’s long term development goals.

ii) Pix Transmission adds PIX-PowerWare Pulleys to its Product Portfolio – Apr 2021

To provide a complete power transmission solution to its customers, Pix Transmission has added PIX PowerWare Pulleys to its product portfolio.
Pix Transmissions Research Report

It will help users in getting a complete power transmission solution comprising of Pulleys and Belts from the same manufacturer, thus compatibility of all components is ensured. PIX PowerWare Pulleys are made as per international standards and follow a strict manufacturing procedure in accordance with the ISO standards.

iii) Pix Transmission steps up presence in automotive segment with ‘PIX Force’ range of belts – Jan 2021

Pix Transmissions has launched belts meant especially for the automotive industry. Pix Force automotive belts have been designed to withstand the most extreme conditions encountered in automobile applications and are available for a full range of vehicle applications including two-wheelers, cars, vans, trucks, buses, heavy and light-duty vehicles, suitable for almost all engine options across different segments.

3. Financial Performance (23 May 2021)

Pix Transmission net profits rises 137.34% in the Dec 2020 quarter

Net profit of Pix Transmission rose 137.34% to Rs 18.37 crore in the quarter ended Dec 2020 as against Rs 7.74 crore during the previous quarter ended Dec 2019. Sales rose 26.77% to Rs 108.07 crore in the quarter ended Dec 2020 as against Rs 83.58 crore during the previous quarter ended Dec 2019.

Pix Transmission net profits rises 143.57% in the Sept 2020 quarter

Net profit of Pix Transmission rose 143.57% to Rs 19.51 crore in the quarter ended Sept 2020 as against Rs 8.01 crore during the previous quarter ended Sept 2019. Sales rose 34.73% to Rs 101.59 crore in the quarter ended Sept 2020 as against Rs 75.40 crore during the previous quarter ended Sept 2019.
 
Pix Transmission Quarterly Performance

4. Peer Group Comparison (23 May 2021)
Hidden Gem Pix Transmissions Peer Comparison

Note: There is no other listed player which offers similar products (rubber belts) like Pix Transmission. Hence, we did a comparison with companies dealing in natural / synthetic rubber products. This may have low relevance considering difference in nature of business.
 
5. Key Concerns & Risks (23 May 2021)

i) Rubber and Rayon are the key raw materials for manufacturing of rubber V-belts constituting a significant chunk of the total raw material purchases of the company. The prices of these commodities remain volatile depending upon demand supply situation. Pix Transmission is thus exposed to a certain extent to such fluctuation in prices.

ii) Pix Transmission operations are working capital intensive as the company derives around 50% of its revenues from the export market which entails a higher transit period and higher credit terms extended to distributors. 

6. Saral Gyan Recommendation (23 May 2021)

i) Global market size of rubber belts is around USD 4 billion with around 50% replacement market. Estimated Indian market size is around 1,500 crores of which 700 crore is replacement market. As per management, organised players have around 80% market share and 20% is unorganised. The Industrial and Agricultural market is shared by companies like Pix Transmission, Fenner and Continental which are major players in non- auto business.

ii) Pix Transmission has been consistently modernizing its plants. The company plants are largely automated, and are also backward integrated with a fully automated rubber mixing plant to ensure product consistency. The company exports its products to over 100 countries which generates nearly 50 percent of its revenue. Anticipating robust demand going forward with revival in capex cycle, management has announced capex to expand manufacturing capacity by 150% and expect to complete the capex by end of FY22.

iii) Pix Transmission specializes in Industrial & Agricultural belts. The company has the capability to manufacture belts from 10” to 10,000” offering more than 32,000 SKUs. Pix produce belts for NTPC which are 60 meters long, Pix Transmission is the only company in India to produce those belts with one power unit running on 30 of those belts. Pix Transmission has focused its effort in producing longer & heavier belts where competition from unorganized players is limited and business is more margin accretive. Also, developing more than 32,000 SKU’s involves high tooling cost. Development of tools is expensive and also consumes lot of time. Being it difficult and time consuming to develop similar product range like that of Pix Transmission, the company may face limited competition going forward.

iv) Rubber products is considered as a commodity business. However, Pix Transmission manufactures the belts which requires high degree of engineering. The company developed elastic belts for washing machines. The problem with the normal belt was related to load factor, if a washing machine is designed for 10 kg load and if one single cloth is washed, the machine will use the power for whole capacity which is not efficient. Pix Transmission solved this problem in FY18 by developing elastic belt for washing machines manufacturers. Crucial part was assimilating the technology which took two and half years to develop. Post development of elastic belt, Pix started commercial supplies to whirlpool and also added other clients later.

v) Pix Transmission has developed all its product in-house and offer world class quality products which are well accepted in developed US & European markets. There is significant scope of growth for the company in domestic market considering increase in farm mechanization and broadening of industrial capex cycle in the country going forward.

vi) As on March21, promoters shareholding in the company is 61.73% without any share being pledged. Promoters have increased their shareholding in the company from 61.12% to 61.73% over last 2 years. Foreign institutions do not hold any shares in the company and DIIs holding is negligible at 0.02%. Pix Transmission have registered sales CAGR of 8%, profit CAGR of 51% with ROE of 11% over last 5 years and looks attractive at current valuations considering increase in demand of its product with start of wider capex cycle in the country.
Pix Transmission Multibagger Financials
vii) Management is rewarding shareholders by paying consistent dividend since 2011. Company has been maintaining dividend payout between 10% to 20%. Considering company’s ongoing expansion plans, we believe 10% dividend payout is adequate. Dividend yield at current market price is 0.45%.
Pix Transmission Dividend History
viii) As per our estimates, Pix Transmission can deliver net profit of Rs. 82 crores in FY 2022-23 with annualized EPS of Rs. 60.15. At current price of 441.30, stock is available at forward P/E multiple of 7.3X based on FY22-23 earnings.

ix) On equity of Rs. 1.36 crore, the estimated annualized EPS for FY 22-23 works out to Rs. 60.15 and the Book Value per share is Rs. 192. At current market price of Rs. 441.30, stock price to book value is 2.3.

Considering expected revival in industrial capex cycle and increase in farm mechanization in the country, company’s planned capacity addition, diverse product offering with more than 32,000 SKUs, and its attractive valuation, Saral Gyan team recommends “Buy” on Pix Transmission Ltd at current price of Rs. 441.30 for target of Rs. 800 over a period of 12 to 24 months.

Buying Strategy:
  • 50% at current market price of Rs. 441.30
  • 50% at price range of Rs. 240 - 300 (in case of correction in stock price)
Portfolio Allocation: 3% of your equity portfolio

To Download Saral Gyan Hidden Gem Report of Pix Transmission - Click Here

Through Hidden Gems and Value Picks, we are providing you opportunities to invest in such small / mid cap stocks today. Infosys, Pantaloon, Dabur, Glenmark were the small cap stocks in past and today are the well known companies falling under mid and large cap space.

The stocks we reveal through Hidden Gems & Value Picks are companies that are either under-researched or not covered by other brokers and research firms. We keep on updating our subscribers on our past recommendations suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future growth outlook.

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