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Muhurat trading is the auspicious stock market trading for an hour on Diwali (Deepawali). It is a symbolic and old ritual, that has been retained and observed for ages, by the trading community. As Diwali also marks the beginning of the New Year, it is believed that muhurat trading on this day brings in wealth and prosperity throughout the year.
The "muhurat" trading session will be of 60 minutes, to be conducted between 6.15 PM to 7.15 PM on the Diwali day, 24th October 2022 on leading bourses NSE and BSE. The special trading session would be conducted to pay obeisance to Lakshmi, the Hindu goddess of wealth and prosperity. It would also mark the New Year for traders as per the Hindu calendar, or Samvat 2079.
Since last year Diwali day i.e. 04th Nov 2021, Sensex and Nifty have given negative returns of -0.8% and -1.4% (as on date) respectively. The probability of getting better returns compared to last year in Samvat 2079 is high considering correction in small and mid caps over last one year. Moreover, with fall in commodity prices, pick up in credit growth and valuations turning reasonable to attractive, broader market is expected to do better compared to major indices - Sensex & Nifty.
The future looks bright for Indian equities as most of the economic activities are back to pre-covid levels. Rising interest rates scenario and high inflation is a concern, however with fall in commodity prices, pick up in credit growth and overall demand, we expect the companies from various sectors to report better revenue and profitability over next one year.
We are pleased to inform you that we are in process of selecting 10 scrips from universe of large, mid and small cap stocks which can benefit investors during next 1 year. We are confident that these carefully selected stocks can outperform major indices like Sensex and Nifty during next 12 months.
We will share Diwali Muhurat Portfolio 2022 of 10 stocks on 24th Oct'22 with all our paid subscribers of Hidden Gems, Value Picks & Wealth-Builder under Diwali Dhamaka Offer (closes on 31st Oct'22). If you wish to receive our Rs. 1 Lakh Diwali Muhurat Portfolio - 2022 of 10 Stocks, you can subscribe to our services under Diwali Dhamaka Offer 2022. To know about the offer, click here.
We will share Diwali Muhurat Portfolio 2022 of 10 stocks on 24th Oct'22 with all our paid subscribers of Hidden Gems, Value Picks & Wealth-Builder under Diwali Dhamaka Offer (closes on 31st Oct'22). If you wish to receive our Rs. 1 Lakh Diwali Muhurat Portfolio - 2022 of 10 Stocks, you can subscribe to our services under Diwali Dhamaka Offer 2022. To know about the offer, click here.
Our selection process includes lot of research and data analysis. We first identify the sectors that are likely to do well in next 12 months. Having that done, we further refine our search to select companies from that sector. We create a portfolio worth Rs. 1 Lakh comprising 10 stocks so that it can help investors to create a model portfolio with lump sum investment up to 1 Lakh.
We will give different allocation to each of the scrips keeping in mind the risk versus returns ratio. We will also fine tuned the portfolio with large cap, mid-cap and small cap scrips from different sectors so that the investors can invest in a complete mix of stocks to balance their portfolio. Saral Gyan Diwali Muhurat Portfolio of 10 Stocks for 2022 will also include best of Hidden Gems and Value Picks recommended by our equity analyst’s team during last couple of years.
We will give different allocation to each of the scrips keeping in mind the risk versus returns ratio. We will also fine tuned the portfolio with large cap, mid-cap and small cap scrips from different sectors so that the investors can invest in a complete mix of stocks to balance their portfolio. Saral Gyan Diwali Muhurat Portfolio of 10 Stocks for 2022 will also include best of Hidden Gems and Value Picks recommended by our equity analyst’s team during last couple of years.
Its time to also review our Rs. 1 Lakh Diwali Muhurat Portfolio of 10 stocks of 2021 released by us on 04th Oct 2021. We are pleased to share that our portfolio has marginally outperformed major indices Sensex and Nifty by 79% and 76% respectively. Sensex has given negative returns of -0.8% (59,772 on 04th Nov'21 to 59,307 as on date) and Nifty has given -1.4% returns (17,829 on 04th Nov'21 to 17,576 as on date) during the year where as Saral Gyan Diwali Muhurat Portfolio of 10 stocks have outperformed both indices giving absolute returns of 0.0% in same period.
Performance update of our Best 10 Diwali Muhurat Stock Picks - 2021
Performance update of our Best 10 Diwali Muhurat Stock Picks - 2021
Five stocks out of ten of our Diwali Muhurat Portfolio of last year have given positive returns in the range of 9% to 20%. And another five stocks have given negative returns in the range of -3% to -32%.
We continue to follow our simple but effective approach by evaluating each stock on the basis of below mentioned criteria’s.
(i) Top Quality management with high integrity:
This is an absolutely non-negotiable condition. If the management is not honest, will they want to share the goodies with you? No, they will look for the first opportunity to siphon off the profits and pull the wool over your eyes.
(ii) The scale of opportunity must be big:
Multi-bagger stocks are created because they are able to scale the opportunity rapidly. Titan Industries is a great example. In 2003-04, Titan‘s market cap was 500 crores. In 2022, it is more than 2,36,000 crores. The fact that India is a booming marketplace of 140 crores consumers means that most products and services have a head start at trying to scale up their activities.
(iii) Low debt; free cash flows:
We learnt from the great crisis of 2011 and 2019 that companies with high debt on their books simply get slaughtered. While debt per se is not bad (if the company is able to borrow at a lower rate and deploy it in its business at a higher rate, the operating leverage works in its favour), excessive debt with high interest and repayment obligations can crunch the stock in times of downturn. So, as a long-term investment philosophy, it is best to steer clear of high-debt companies.
(iv) High ROE – Efficient users of capital:
Some company’s management is able to squeeze that little extra of every buck. A ROE of at least 15-20% is necessary to make into the hallowed list of model portfolio.
(v) No High Capex Requirements – No Serial Diluters of Equity:
We know from past experience the demerits of investing in stocks like Suzlon & GMR which have an insatiable appetite for more and more capital. To feed their perennial hunger, these companies dilute their equity by making FPOs, GDRs & FCCBs resulting in total destruction of shareholder's wealth. Companies should be lean and mean requiring minimal capital but generating huge returns there from.
(vi) Reasonable growth expectations:
“If you get a tax-free return of 18% for your portfolio, you must be very happy”. So, stop craving for that overnight multi-bagger. You’ll only end up losing your precious capital that way. Instead, look for well established small, mid and blue chips companies that are growing at a reasonable rate of return (15 – 25%). With time and the magic of compounding, you will have your muti-bagger in your portfolio.
(vii) Valuations:
Most investors are obsessed about valuations, refusing to buy any stock that is “expensive”. However, one must remember that “expensive” is a relative term. If a stock is compounding at 25% on an annual basis, paying a price of 30 times earnings may be very reasonable. A stock like Nestle, for instance, has always been “expensive”. However, if an investor had gone ahead and bought the stock, he would have had an incredible multi-bagger on his hands. On the other hand, in trying to buy a “cheap” stock, one may get saddled with unsavory companies. After all, there is a reason why such stocks are “cheap”.
Of course, one should be careful not to buy in euphoric or bubble times when the pricing may be extravagant and not at all reasonable.
(viii) Concentrated Portfolio:
We like Warren Buffett approach, a believer in the concept of a concentrated portfolio. If you believe in the prospects of a stock you should be prepared to put a substantial chunk of money in it – or nothing at all. There is no point in buying a bit of this and a bit of that because that dilutes your returns.
Of course, we are no match for Warren Buffett and we do not have his conviction levels. So, we’ll stick to 10 stocks to begin with, which means that from 5% to 12% of the wealth will be invested in each stock.
(ix) Diversification:
Last but not the least; a proper portfolio must be diversified across sectors. A bit of Finance, a bit of consumption, some autos, some IT with a pinch of chemical, pharma etc will make a balanced portfolio.
Saral Gyan Diwali Muhurat Portfolio of 10 Stocks will be emailed to all our Hidden Gems, Value Picks and Wealth-Builder
Wish you happy & safe Investing.
Regards,
Team - Saral Gyan
