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Saturday, April 6, 2024

Are you Investing in 5 Small Caps with 5-Bagger Potential?

Dear Reader,

On 29 May 2022, our equity analysts finalized the best investment opportunities from small cap segment which have the potential to deliver excellent returns during next 5 years. We released our Special Report - 5 Stocks - Potential 5-Baggers in 5 Years on 29th May 2022 and shared the report with our Hidden Gems and Wealth-Builder members. The objective of this report is to achieve average annualized returns of 38% each year to achieve 5X returns in period of next 5 years by investing in 5 small caps.

We are glad to inform you that our 5 potential 5-Bagger stocks (released on 29 May 2022) have delivered average returns of 217.8 percent (CAGR of 93.7 percent) compared to Sensex returns of 30.1 percent during the same period. Out of 5 stocks, Som Distilleries (439%) and Cupid (682%) have already turned multi-bagger delivering more than 5X returns within period of 2 years.

On 10 Sept 2023, we released 5 Stocks - Potential 5-Bagger Report Update and suggested our members to book profits in Som Distilleries (delivered 439% returns) and switch to another small cap stock which offers better investment opportunity for long term investors.

Later, we released the next issue of our Special Report - 5 Stocks - Potential 5-Bagger in 5 Years update on 22 Jan 2024 and shared it with active members of Hidden Gems and Wealth-Builder service.

Below is the performance update of Potential 5-Bagger Stocks in 5 Years Report (as on 21 Jan 2024).
As one more stock i.e. Cupid out of 5 stocks turned out to be almost 8-Bagger stock (delivering total returns of 682%) in a period of 20 months and looked expensive, we decided to book complete profits in Cupid and switched to another small cap stock in our report released on 22 Jan 2024, this newly added small cap company also have a similar potential like that of Som Distilleries and Cupid Ltd.

We are confident to achieve 5 times returns in period of 5 years by monitoring performance of these five small size companies and taking corrective measures in case any of them does not perform up to our expectations.

Special Report: 5 Stocks - Potential 5-Baggers in 5 Years Released on 22 Jan 2024

As we review our Potential 5-Bagger Stocks every year taking corrective actions in terms of profit booking / exit or entry into new stock, we have released our Special Report Update - 5 Stocks - Potential 5-Baggers in 5 Years on 22 Jan 2024. 

Under this report, we have reviewed these companies and guided our members which stocks can be added at current levels, we also suggested to book full profits in Cupid and to switch to another stock which offer good investment opportunity at current levels with potential to deliver 5X returns in period of 5 Years. If we find any major change in fundamentals in any of these 5 stocks which can impact their performance going forward, we will inform our members to take corrective measures.

Note: If you wish to receive our Special Report 5 Stocks : Potential 5-Baggers in 5 Years Update (released on 22 January 2024), simply subscribe to Hidden Gems or Wealth-Builder service, or any of our Hidden Gems combo packs and we will send you the report without any extra charges. Hurry! Only 1 Day Left to avail discount upto 30% under Holi Dhamaka Offer (closes on 07 April 2024).

Few important parameters which have been looked by our equity analysts while finalizing the stock selection are as under: 
  • Market leader in the business / any one segment in which the company is operating in.
  • Scalable business with significant moat (sustainable competitive advantage)
  • Prudent Management with promoters increasing their shares holding in the company 
  • Low / manageable debt on books with healthy cash flows.
  • CAGR of above 15% with increase in operating and net profit margins in last 3 / 5 years.
  • Consistent dividend payment with expected increase in dividend payouts in coming years.
  • Growing EPS, low PE ratio with increasing ROE and ROCE over last 5 years.
  • Low share holdings of Institutions (FIIs & DIIs) to get first mover advantage.
Each parameter is equally important and plays a vital role to ensure that you get healthy returns on your investment with limited downside risk in long term. One of the important key to successful investing is to pick the right business at decent valuations. Once you buy shares, you own a part of company’s business.

While determining which stocks to consider as a long term investment opportunity for generating 5-Bagger returns, we looked into below 5 value drivers:

i) Does the company offer a product or service that has broad acceptability in a large, growing market?
ii) Does the company have healthy margins, and are they sustainable over a longer period of time?
iii) Can company generate significant amounts of cash without resorting to expensive debt?
iv) Can company return the cash generated to its shareholders by declaring generous dividends?
v) Is the company’s management honest and competent, with hunger to grow business at a faster pace?

We at Saral Gyan recommend good businesses to buy with long term view and any change in our stock views will be based on strong structural trend and not on any short term movement.

If you have patience and want to add extra power in your portfolio, start investing some portion of your savings in fundamentally strong micro, small and mid cap companies - Nano Champs, Hidden Gems and Value PicksMoreover, if you have invested in stocks and believe that your investments are not performing well, subscribe to our Wealth-Builder service and get your portfolio reviewed by us. We will review fundamentals of the companies you are holding and guide you which stocks to hold and which to exit. We will also review your equity investments across sectors and companies to ensure that your portfolio allocation is right and outperforms major indices giving you better returns in medium to long term.

Do write to us at info@saralgyan.in in case of any queries, we will be delighted to assist you.

Regards,
Team - Saral Gyan

Why Share Price is Not Important while Buying Stocks?

Dear Reader,

Why is a stock that cost Rs. 50 cheaper than another stock priced at Rs. 10?

This question opens a point that often confuses beginning investors: The per-share price of a stock is thought to convey some sense of value relative to other stocks. Nothing could be farther from the truth.

In fact, except for its use in some calculations, the per-share price is virtually meaningless to investors doing fundamental analysis. If you follow the technical analysis route to stock selection, it’s a different story, but for now let’s stick with fundamental analysis.

The reason we aren’t concerned with per-share price is that it is always changing and, since each company has a different number of outstanding shares, it doesn’t give us a clue to the value of the company. For that number, we need the market capitalization or market cap number.

The market cap is found by multiplying the per-share price times the total number of outstanding shares. This number gives you the total value of the company or stated another way, what it would cost to buy the whole company on the open market.

Here’s an example:

Stock price: Rs. 50

Outstanding shares: 5 Crores 

Market cap: Rs. 50 x 50,000,000 = Rs. 250 Crores

To prove our opening sentence, look at this second example:

Stock price: Rs. 10

Outstanding shares: 30 Crores 

Market cap: Rs. 10 x 300,000,000 = Rs. 300 Crores

This is how you should look at these two companies for evaluation purposes. Their per-share prices tell you nothing by themselves.

What does market cap tell you?

First, it gives you a starting place for evaluation. When looking a stock, it should always be in a context. How does the company compare to others of a similar size in the same industry?

The market generally classifies stocks into three categories:

• Small Cap under Rs. 1000 Crores 

• Mid Cap Rs. 1000 - Rs. 10000 Crores

• Large Cap above Rs. 10000 Crores

Some analysts use different numbers and others add micro caps and mega caps, however the important point is to understand the value of comparing companies of similar size during your evaluation. You will also use market cap in your screens when looking for a certain size company to balance your portfolio. Don’t get hung up on the per-share price of a stock when making your evaluation. It really doesn't tell you much. Focus instead on the market cap to get a picture of the company’s value in the market place.

IMP Note: This article is written to safe-guard our readers who are new to stock market, and make them understand about the actual facts. We keep on receiving mails from our readers regarding the price range of stocks we covers under our Hidden Gems or Value Picks service. The misconception in mind of new investors is regarding the stock price, majority of them believe that if stock price is less, like below Rs. 50 or even below Rs. 10, changes of stock price appreciation is very high and they can buy more no. of shares rather than buying a limited no. of shares of high priced stock. 

We have a reader base covering almost all major states in India and from 20 other countries across globe. During the last 12 years we have interacted with several investors seeking multibagger return from stocks. 

It was 17th Dec 2011, we covered Cera Sanitaryware as Hidden Gem stock of the month at price of Rs 157, later it went up to Rs. 450 in period of 15 months. Based on strong quarterly numbers, attractive valuations and consistent performance, we suggested adding it up again in the range of 400-450 which was taken as a surprise by our members as we received several queries and feedback.

Below are some of the common queries of our subscribers which often lead them to opportunity losses.

1. How come a stock priced at Rs 450 can generate Multibagger returns?
2. Cera is almost 3 times moving from 170 to 450, why are you suggesting buy again?
3. Where is the room to generate Multibagger return from this level?
4. I don’t like such high-priced stock, please give me stocks priced below Rs. 100.
5. I want to buy more no. of shares, hence please recommend low price stocks below Rs. 10.

Cera Sanitaryware touched its life time high of Rs 9740 last year and currently trading around Rs. 7340, Cera is a 50-Bagger stock in 12 years from our initial coverage and is a 17X stock from our reiterated buy at Rs. 450, which was not liked by our subscribers.

The story does not end here, there is a long way to go. Our suggested stocks is with a view-point of 2-3 years at least and not just 6 to 12 months. If fundamentals of the company are intact, we would not suggest our members to do profit booking or exit. Investors who stayed away just because of high price simply missed yet another opportunity. We held Cera for long term and suggested complete profit booking to our members in the stock around 3500 - 4000 levels in 2017.

There is a general misconception among the investors that high priced stocks can't generate multibagger returns. They often think that high-priced stocks are overvalued. In terms of valuation, a 50 rupees stock may not be cheaper than that of a 1000 rupees stock. There is no co-relation between the valuation and market price of a stock. To understand whether a company is small or large, you must look at market cap of the company and not at stock price. To judge valuation you must have to look at Price to earning ratio, Price to book ratio, market cap to sales ratio etc.

Lets try to understand this with an example, Rajratan Global Wires share price was Rs. 54.77 on 30 Nov 2017 (stock split and bonus issue adjusted price, actual price was 639). Today the stock price is at Rs. 630 giving absolute returns of 1050% i.e. more than 11 times in 7 years against double digit return of Sensex in the same period. In fact, we already advised partial profit booking in Rajratan Global Wires to our Hidden Gems at Rs. 1300, booking returns of 2270% (almost 24X) in period of 5 years.

We suggested Buy on Rajratan Global Wires at price of Rs. 639 under Hidden Gems service on 30 Nov 2017 and if any of our subscribers have not invested in the company thinking he/she can get only 15 shares by investing Rs. 10,000 has made a big mistake. Today those 15 shares have increased to 175 shares on account of bonus shares issued by the company in the ratio of 4:3 in 2019 and later stock split of 1 shares into 5 shares (face value of Rs. 10 to Rs 2 per share) in March 2022. And the current share price of Rs. 630 is still seems very high for those who looks at low price stock. 

There are many examples like above by which we can illustrate that there’s nothing called high price. Multibagger returns is not dependent on the current market price of a stock, so don't be afraid of investing in high priced stock. You need to look at fundamentals like future growth prospects of the company, PE ratio, PB ratio, ROE, ROCE, debt on books, EV/EBITDA, cash reserves along with other parameters to judge a stock whether it is undervalued or overvalued. We agree with you that judging valuation is not an easy task. So, take expert’s advise when ever required.

Another misconception among investors is to buy more no. of shares. They often think that its better to buy more no. of shares of a low price scrip (ranging below Rs. 10 or say below Rs. 50) instead of buying less no. of shares of high priced stocks. They often think that low price stocks can generate multibagger return quickly. During last 10 years, we have reviewed many portfolio of our members under Wealth-Builder subscription, we have noticed that many of their portfolio is filled with such low-priced stocks and most of those are in great loss because of poor business fundamentals of these companies. You may think that a two rupees stock can easily generate multibagger returns even if it touch to Rs. 10. At the same time don’t forget that the same stock can even come down to Rs. 0 levels which can evaporate all your investment giving you 100% loss! In terms of valuation a two thousand rupees stock may not be expensive than that of a two rupees stock.

Lets try to understand this also with a simple example, Lanco Infratech was a well-known company from Infrastructure sector. At the beginning of 2010 the stock was around Rs 55. After 10 years, it was hovering at just Rs 1.30 and today its not operational any more. Those who purchased the stock during 2010 are in 100% loss! Rs. 1 lakh invested in Lanco Infratech in Jan 2010 was valued at merely Rs. 2,000 in 2020, a complete wealth-destroyer! Isn't it? Those who bought this stock at levels of Rs. 30 and later again at Rs. 10 or Rs. 5 to average out thinking that stock has came down from all time highs of Rs. 85 are still waiting to get their buying price back. There are many such stocks like Suzlon Energy, GTL Infrastructure, GVK Power and Infrastructure etc which have continuously destroyed wealth of investors over a period of last 5 to 10 years.

We do not state that all low price stocks are wealth-destroyers, it all depends on the fundamentals of the company. So, do ensure that you check out the fundamentals and valuations while investing in stocks instead of looking at stock price. Please get out of the misconception that low priced stocks will fly high faster giving you extra-ordinary returns. Always remember that stock price is just a barometer, actual valuations of a company can be determined by its fundamentals.

If you wish to invest in fundamentally strong micro, small and mid cap companies which can give you far superior returns compared to major indices like Sensex or Nifty in long term and help you creating wealth, you can join our services like Nano ChampsHidden Gems & Value Picks & Wealth-Builder.

The stocks we reveal through Nano ChampsHidden Gems & Value Picks  are companies that either under-researched or not covered by other stock brokers and research firms. We keep on updating our members on our past recommendation suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future outlook.

Do write to us at info@saralgyan.in in case of any queries, we will be delighted to assist you.

Regards,
Team - Saral Gyan 

Thursday, April 4, 2024

Multibagger Hidden Gems - Avg Returns of 126% in 3 Years

Dear Reader,

We thank you for your appreciation and support for making Hidden Gems as one of our most admired services. Hidden Gems ranks on top not only in performance but also on Google search engine. You can try it yourself by searching "Hidden Gems SIP" or "Unexplored Multibagger Small Caps" or "Best Hidden Gems Micro Caps" on Google, you will find our website www.saralgyan.in featuring on top in search results. It's your appreciation and word of mouth publicity which make our website featuring on the 1st page in Google.

It's a fact that 78 Hidden Gems stocks out of 120 released during the last 12 years have given more than 100% returns to our members. Moreover, 42 stocks out of these 78 are giving returns in the range of 400% to 7000% (i.e. 5-Baggers to 70-Bagger stocks). Stocks like Cera Sanitaryware, Camlin Fine Sciences, Acrysil, Balaji Amines, Kovai Medical, Wim Plast, Mayur Uniquoter, Dynemic Products, Roto Pumps, TCPL Packaging, Globus Spirits, Rajratan Global Wires, Stylam Industries, Control Print, Mold-Tek Packaging etc are some of our multi-bagger stocks which have given whopping returns in the range of 900% to 7000%.

You might think that investing in mutual funds could be one of the way to start SIP (Systematic Investment Plan). However, returns may not be that high which you can generate by directly investing into good quality small and mid cap stocks. Hence, we suggest our members to start SIP by directly investing in stocks every month. What you are suppose to do is to invest your savings in a particular stock once in a month instead of putting it into mutual fund. Next month, same amount would be invested in another stock which at that point of time gives you good medium to long term investment opportunity. This could be an ideal choice for salaried employees as well as businessmen / entrepreneurs, as it will help you to directly invest in fundamentally strong small and mid cap companies to build a diversified portfolio of high quality small and mid cap stocks over a period of time to achieve wealth creation.

Investing in stocks is a great way to build your diversified investment portfolio. It is a simple and time tested approach for accumulation of wealth in a disciplined manner. Simply get some savings from your monthly income and invest in equities for the long term. It not only allows you to save every month in a disciplined way but also helps you ride through ups and downs of the stock market.
 
Invest some portion of your monthly income in good companies without  timing the stock market and you will definitely get rewarded in the long run. Just take care of Basic Principle of Investing in Equities:
 
1. Invest in the stock market with a long term view (3 - 7 years or more).
2. Invest in companies which are fundamentally strong with scalable business.
3. Follow a disciplined approach by Investing regularly in equities.
4. Build a diversified portfolio by investing in small & mid cap companies.
5. Avoid frequent buying / selling of stocks, It's trading not Investing!
6. Review performance of your holding companies at least once a year to decide whether to buy / sell or hold.

Hidden Gems Stocks - Average Returns of 126.4% in 3 Years
 
Hidden Gems continue to shine giving higher returns compared to all major indices. As on date, average returns of the last 26 Hidden Gems stocks released over the last 3 years is 126.4%. Below is the performance update of Hidden Gems stocks released over the last 3 years.
13 Hidden Gems stocks i.e. Lincoln Pharma, Pix Transmission, GEE, Ador Fontech, Uni Abex Alloy Products, Bhagyanagar India, Cupid, Som Distilleries, Patels Airtemp, Dynamic Cables, Indag Rubber, Pakka and V2 Retail turned multibagger delivering returns in the range of 90% to 730%.

Time has shown that smart investors have made their fortune by investing in equities in the long term. None other asset class can match giving you such extraordinary returns. Yes, it's important for you to invest in the right set of companies at the right price.

Multibagger Stocks which can multiply Investments in Future
 
The number of small-cap stocks is large and finding a quality stock that can give high returns over a long period is tough even for equity analysts. One reason is that such stocks usually have a short history and are not tracked by many analysts and brokerage houses. Then there are risks such as low liquidity, governance concerns and competition from larger players.
 
Scores of once small companies have over the years grown big, giving investors a 30-50 percent annual return over 10-15 years and creating fortunes for investors. However, more often than not, we find ourselves at the wrong side of the fence and regret our inability to spot such stocks on time.
 
Benefits of Investing in Small Caps
 
1. Huge growth potential: The first and the most important advantage that a small cap stock gives you is their high growth potential. Since these are small companies they have great scope to rise as opposed to already large companies.
 
2. Low Valuations: Usually small cap stocks are available at lower valuations compared to mid & large caps. Hence, if you invest in good small cap companies at initial stage and wait for couple of years,  you will see price appreciation not only because of growth in top line and bottom line but also due to rerating which happens with increase in market capital of the company.
 
3. Early Entrance Advantage: Most of the fund house and institutions do not own small caps with low market cap due to less liquidity which make it difficult for them to own sufficient no. of shares. This gives retail investors an opportunity to be an early entrant to accumulate such companies shares. When company grows in market cap by delivering consistent growth and becomes more liquid, entry of fund houses and institutions push the share prices up with re-rating of stock giving maximum gains to early entrants. 
 
4. Under–Researched: Small cap stocks are often given the least attention by the analysts who are more interested in the large companies. Hence, they are often under - recognized and could be under-priced thus giving the investor the opportunity to benefit from these low prices.
 
5. Emerging Sectors: In a developing economy where there are several new business models and sectors emerging, the opportunity to pick new leaders can be hugely beneficial. Also the disruptive models in the new age is leading to more churn and faster growth amongst the nimble footed smaller companies.
 
Buying Strategy for Small Caps
 
1. Go for companies with low debt ratio (preferably less than one)
 
2. A high interest coverage ratio (above 3x) and a high return on equity are big advantages
 
3. Avoid companies with huge liabilities in the form of foreign currency convertible bonds / external commercial borrowings
 
4. Look at the quality of the management, its governance standards and how investor-friendly the company is.
 
5. Mid-cap and small-cap companies can be future market leaders, so be patient with your investments
 
Those who wish to invest in small-cap stocks should do so only if they have a long investment horizon and tolerance for volatility. Small-cap stocks suffer the steepest falls in a bear market and rise the most in a bull market. An investor should stay invested for at least three-five years to allow their portfolio to gain from at least one bull run. If you are looking for multibaggers, stock must have high growth rates along with expanding PE ratios. The price we pay for the stock is important as it will determine whether there is enough scope left for a PE expansion to take place. 
 
Concerns while Investing in Small Caps
 
1. Risk: The first and the most important disadvantage a small cap stock is the high level of risk it exposes an investor to. If a small cap company has the potential to rise quickly, it even has the potential to fall. Owing to its small size, it may not be able to sustain itself thereby leading the investor into great loses. After all, the bigger the company, the harder it is for it to fall.
 
2. Volatility: Small cap stocks are also more volatile as compared to large cap stocks. This is mainly because they have limited reserves against hard times. Also, it in the event of an economic crisis or any change in the company administration could lead to investors dis-investing thereby leading to a fall in prices.
 
3. Liquidity: Since investing in small cap stocks is mainly a decision depending upon one’s ability to undertake risk, a small cap stock can often become illiquid. Hence, one should not depend upon them for an important life goal.
 
4. Lack of information: As opposed to a large cap company, the analysts do not spend enough time studying the small cap companies. Hence, there isn’t enough information available to the investor so that he can study the company and decide about it future prospects.
 
If these factors scare you but you still want to gain from the upside potential of such stocks, Saral Gyan Nano ChampsHidden Gems & Value Picks  is a great choice for you. At Saral Gyan, team of equity analysts keep on evaluating micro, small and mid cap stocks to explore the best Nano Champs and Hidden Gems of stock market. Saral Gyan - Nano Champs, Hidden Gems and Value Picks are the micro, small and mid cap stocks with high probability to become multi-bagger stocks in future and a path for our investors to create wealth through equity investments in a long run. Multibaggers evolve over time, many successful investors follow plenty of processes to identify these stocks early and continue to ride them till they evolve as multibaggers.

Grow your Wealth by Investing in Potential Multibagger Small Caps

Multibagger Hidden Gems Stocks
The stocks we reveal through Nano ChampsHidden Gems & Value Picks are companies that either under-researched or not covered by other stock brokers and research firms. We keep on updating our members on our past recommendation suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future outlook.
 
Moreover, under our Wealth-Builder service, we encourage our members to replicate our Wealth-Builder portfolio by investing in selective high quality small and mid cap companies. We believe, investing in Wealth-Builder portfolio with regular portfolio review from our end can help you achieve market beating, very good returns over a longer team and help you take care of yourself and your family needs, which ultimately lead to a healthy and wealthy life after retirement.

Do write to us in case of any queries, we will be delighted to assist you.

Wishing you Happy & Safe Investing!

Regards,
Team - Saral Gyan.