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Showing posts with label Wealth Creation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Wealth Creation. Show all posts

Saturday, March 16, 2024

Grab Discount upto 30% & Freebies with Holi Dhamaka Offer

Dear Reader,

The recent market correction over last one month is giving a good opportunity to long term investors to add good quality small and mid caps at attractive to reasonable valuations. The BSE Small Cap Index which made all time high in February month has corrected by nearly 12 percent over last one month, steep fall in stock prices of small and mid caps over last one month has made many stocks valuations reasonable to attractive.

During this opportune time, we decided to pass on the maximum benefits by giving maximum discounts and valuable freebies to our members under Saral Gyan Holi Dhamaka Offer 2024, this is a limited period offer and closes on 07th April 2024.

Since 2010, Saral Gyan team has successfully published hundreds of articles providing insight to equity market and today cherish association of more than 45,000 readers. Articles published on our website received lot of appreciation as it helped our readers to make educated investment decisions based on facts and understand the benefits of real long term investing in equities in a systematic way rather than investing for short term returns.

During past 13 years, we launched suitable services to help Investors to create wealth by investing in Indian stock market. Its appreciation and support of our readers that one of our most admired service - Hidden Gems ranks on top not only in performance but also on Google search engine. You can try it yourself by searching 
"Hidden Gems SIP" or "Unexplored Multibagger Small Caps" or "Best Hidden Gems Micro Caps" on Google, you will find our website www.saralgyan.in featuring on top in search results. Its appreciation and word of mouth publicity of our members which make our website featuring on 1st position on Google.
Festival of Colours - Holi is just a few days away and to cherish Holi celebrations with our readers, we decided to pass on the maximum benefits by offering great savings and valuable freebies under Saral Gyan Holi Dhamaka Offer 2024

Attractive discounts & valuable freebies which make our offer special for our readers are as under:

1. Discount up to 30% on combo pack subscription (valid up to 07 Apr'24 only)
Discount of 10% on individual services, and up to 30% on Combo packs
 
2. Portfolio of 10 Small & Mid Cap Stocks for FY24-25 (To be released on 31 Mar'24)
Applicable under Hidden Gems / Value Picks / Wealth-Builder subscription

3. Special Report - 5 Stocks: Potential 5-Baggers in 5 Years (Released on 22 Jan'24)
Applicable under Hidden Gems and Wealth-Builder subscription only

4. Last 3 Hidden Gems Research Reports (released over last 3-4 months)
Applicable under Hidden Gems subscription only
 
5. Last 3 Value Picks Research Reports (released over last 3-4 months)
Applicable under Value Picks subscription only
 
6. Existing Portfolio Health Check Up (Review of existing stocks)
Applicable under Wealth-Builder subscription only

Below table indicates subscription services and discounted prices valid up to 07 April 2024.

SARAL GYAN
SUBSCRIPTION SERVICE
HOLI DHAMAKA OFFER
ANNUAL SUBSCRIPTION PRICE
PAY VIA CARD
(3% CHARGES EXTRA)
Hidden GemsRs. 15,000 13,500 (10% OFF)
Value PicksRs. 10,000 9,000 (10% OFF)
15% @ 90 DaysRs. 5,000 (No Discount)
Wealth-BuilderRs. 30,000 27,000 (10% OFF)
Combo 1: HG + VP + WB + 15%Rs. 60,000 42,000 (30% OFF)
Combo 2: HG + VP + 15%Rs. 30,000 24,000 (20% OFF)
Combo 3: HG + VPRs. 25,000 21,000 (16% OFF)
Combo 4: HG + 15%Rs. 20,000 17,500 (12% OFF)
Combo 5: VP + 15%Rs. 15,000 13,500 (10% OFF)

There is no combo option for Nano Champs, you need to opt for this service separately.

SUBSCRIPTION OPTION

PAY VIA CARD

(3% CHARGES EXTRA)

Nano Champs– 1 Year  - Rs 13,000 11.700 (-10%)

SUBSCRIBE

Nano Champs– 3  Year - Rs. 39,000 33,000 (-15%)

SUBSCRIBE


Simply choose the subscription service / combo subscription you would like to opt and click on SUBSCRIBE! link in above table to make online payment using your debit / credit card.

Through Nano ChampsHidden Gems and Value Picks, we are providing you opportunities to invest in such micro, small and mid cap stocks today. Infosys, Dabur, Glenmark, Bajaj Finance were the small cap stocks in past and today are the well known companies falling under mid and large cap space.
 
Nano Champs Hidden Gems Value Picks Wealth-Builder
If you wish to invest in fundamentally strong micro, small and mid cap companies which can give you far superior returns compared to major indices like Sensex or Nifty in long term and help you creating wealth, you can join our services like Nano ChampsHidden GemsValue Picks & Wealth-Builder.

The stocks we reveal through Nano ChampsHidden Gems & Value Picks are companies that either under-researched or not covered by other stock brokers and research firms. We keep on updating our members on our past recommendation suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future outlook.
 
Moreover, under our Wealth-Builder service, we encourage our members to replicate our Wealth-Builder portfolio by investing in selective high quality small and mid cap companies. We believe, investing in Wealth-Builder portfolio with regular portfolio review from our end can help you achieve market beating, very good returns over a longer team and help you take care of yourself and your family needs, which ultimately lead to a healthy and wealthy life after retirement.

Grow your Wealth by Investing in Potential Multibagger Small Caps

Multibagger Hidden Gems Stocks
It's a fact that 78 Hidden Gems stocks out of 120 released during the last 13 years have given more than 100% returns to our members. Moreover, 42 stocks out of these 78 turned 5X to 70X delivering returns in the range of 400% to 6900%. Stocks like Cera Sanitaryware, Camlin Fine Sciences, Acrysil, Balaji Amines, Kovai Medical, Wim Plast, Mayur Uniquoter, Dynemic Products, Roto Pumps, TCPL Packaging, Globus Spirits, Rajratan Global Wires, Stylam Industries etc are some of our multibagger stocks which have given whopping returns in the range of 900% to 7000%.

We do update our members in terms of profit booking / exits depending upon various factors like overall Industry / Sector outlook, fundamentals of the company, management action plan and annual performance in terms of top line, bottom line, operating margins and other important parameters.
 
Below are the details of our services:

1. Hidden Gems (Unexplored Multibagger Small Cap Stocks): Based on fundamental analysis, our equity analysts release one Hidden Gem research report every month with buy recommendation and share it with all Hidden Gems members. Stock finalized as Hidden Gem belongs to small / micro caps space with market cap of less than 500 Crores, expected returns from Hidden Gems is nearly 90% to 100% in period of 12 - 24 months. Once target is achieved, we inform our members whether they should continue to hold the stock or need to do partial / full profit booking. If fundamentals are intact and valuations are reasonable, we suggest to continue to hold the stock for long term for multibagger returns. Annual subscription charge of Hidden Gems is INR 15,000 13,500 under which you will receive total 10 to 12 Hidden Gems research reports over a period of 12 months. Click here to read more about Hidden Gems.

2. Value Picks (Mid Caps with Plenty of Upside Potential): Our equity analysts team consider Warren Buffet approach to short list stocks from mid cap segment as Value Picks. Market cap of Value Pick will range from 1000 crores to 15,000 crores. Holding period of Value Picks is 12 - 24 months and one can expect returns of 40-60%. Annual subscription charge of Value Picks is INR 10,000 9,000 under which you will receive total 10 to 12 Value Picks research reports over a period of 12 months. Click here to read more about Value Picks.

3. 15% @ 90 Days (Buy to Sell Stocks for Short Term Gain): Based on technical analysis, our team recommends one stock every month to our members. It’s a short term call under which you can expect returns of 15% within period of 90 Days. Annual subscription charge of 15% @ 90 Days is INR 5,000 under which you will receive 10 to 12 stock recommendations. We suggest lower allocation in 15% @ 90 Days stocks and higher allocation in Hidden Gems and Value Picks which are our portfolio stocks based on fundamental analysis. 15% @ 90 Days stocks recommendations are based on buy to sell and gain strategy, hence we suggest our members to book complete profits once target is achieved and exit in case target is not achieved or stock has broken its 2nd support level as per report. Click here to read more about 15% @ 90 Days.

4. Wealth-Builder (An Offline Portfolio Management Service): Wealth-Builder is our model portfolio of Rs. 10 lakhs and currently we are holding around 17 stocks in our portfolio. We suggest higher allocation in our Wealth-Builder stocks which include best of our Hidden Gems and Value Picks released during last couple of years. Our team suggests all our Wealth-Builder members to invest in the stocks which are part of our Wealth-Builder portfolio. Every month our team updates our Wealth-Builder members which stocks they need to buy / sell / hold with % allocation of these stocks in their portfolio, the suggested changes need to be replicated in the same proportion. Annual subscription charge of Wealth-Builder is INR 30,000 27,000 under which you will receive total 10 - 15 portfolio updates. We also review existing equity portfolio of our members and advise them which stocks to hold and which to exit based on fundamental analysis under Wealth-Builder service. Our Wealth-Builder service is suitable for those investors who have an existing portfolio of at least 4 to 5 lakhs or planning to invest similar amount or more in equity market. Click here to read more about Wealth-Builder.

5. Nano Champs (Deeply Undervalued & Undiscovered Micro Caps): Under Nano Champs service, we research on micro cap stocks with market capital of less than 100 - 120 crores, the investment horizon is 3 to 6 years with objective to achieve 10x returns in long term (6 years or more). As micro caps involves higher degree of risk compared to small and mid caps, we provide a diversified basket of 10 Nano Champs in our half yearly report. Moreover, as these are very small sized companies, the maximum investment allocation in each Nano Champs suggested is 1 percent of equity portfolio, hence maximum allocation of 10 percent to 10 Nano Champs. Annual subscription charge of Nano Champs is INR 13,000 11,700 under which you will receive total 2 reports (every 6 months) and ad-hoc updates (if any) over a period of 12 months. Click here to read more about Nano Champs.
 
Enjoy great savings and receive valuable freebies under Holi Dhamaka offer. Hurry! This is a limited period offer, closes on 07th April 2024. Click here for details.

Do write to us in case of any queries, we will be delighted to assist you.
 
Wishing you Happy & Safe Investing!
 
Regards,
Team - Saral Gyan.

Saturday, January 13, 2024

Check Fundamentals & Not Share Price while Buying Stocks!

Dear Reader,

Why is a stock that cost Rs. 50 cheaper than another stock priced at Rs. 10?

This question opens a point that often confuses beginning investors: The per-share price of a stock is thought to convey some sense of value relative to other stocks. Nothing could be farther from the truth.

In fact, except for its use in some calculations, the per-share price is virtually meaningless to investors doing fundamental analysis. If you follow the technical analysis route to stock selection, it’s a different story, but for now let’s stick with fundamental analysis.

The reason we aren’t concerned with per-share price is that it is always changing and, since each company has a different number of outstanding shares, it doesn’t give us a clue to the value of the company. For that number, we need the market capitalization or market cap number.

The market cap is found by multiplying the per-share price times the total number of outstanding shares. This number gives you the total value of the company or stated another way, what it would cost to buy the whole company on the open market.

Here’s an example:

Stock price: Rs. 50

Outstanding shares: 5 Crores 

Market cap: Rs. 50 x 50,000,000 = Rs. 250 Crores

To prove our opening sentence, look at this second example:

Stock price: Rs. 10

Outstanding shares: 30 Crores 

Market cap: Rs. 10 x 300,000,000 = Rs. 300 Crores

This is how you should look at these two companies for evaluation purposes. Their per-share prices tell you nothing by themselves.

What does market cap tell you?

First, it gives you a starting place for evaluation. When looking a stock, it should always be in a context. How does the company compare to others of a similar size in the same industry?

The market generally classifies stocks into three categories:

• Small Cap under Rs. 1000 Crores 

• Mid Cap Rs. 1000 - Rs. 10000 Crores

• Large Cap above Rs. 10000 Crores

Some analysts use different numbers and others add micro caps and mega caps, however the important point is to understand the value of comparing companies of similar size during your evaluation. You will also use market cap in your screens when looking for a certain size company to balance your portfolio. Don’t get hung up on the per-share price of a stock when making your evaluation. It really doesn't tell you much. Focus instead on the market cap to get a picture of the company’s value in the market place.

IMP Note: This article is written to safe-guard our readers who are new to stock market, and make them understand about the actual facts. We keep on receiving mails from our readers regarding the price range of stocks we covers under our Hidden Gems or Value Picks service. The misconception in mind of new investors is regarding the stock price, majority of them believe that if stock price is less, like below Rs. 50 or even below Rs. 10, changes of stock price appreciation is very high and they can buy more no. of shares rather than buying a limited no. of shares of high priced stock. 

We have a reader base covering almost all major states in India and from 20 other countries across globe. During the last 10 years we have interacted with several investors seeking multibagger return from stocks. 

It was 17th Dec 2011, we covered Cera Sanitaryware as Hidden Gem stock of the month at price of Rs 157, later it went up to Rs. 450 in period of 15 months. Based on strong quarterly numbers, attractive valuations and consistent performance, we suggested adding it up again in the range of 400-450 which was taken as a surprise by our members as we received several queries and feedback.

Below are some of the common queries of our subscribers which often lead them to opportunity losses.

1. How come a stock priced at Rs 450 can generate Multibagger returns?
2. Cera is almost 3 times moving from 170 to 450, why are you suggesting buy again?
3. Where is the room to generate Multibagger return from this level?
4. I don’t like such high-priced stock, please give me stocks priced below Rs. 100.
5. I want to buy more no. of shares, hence please recommend low price stocks below Rs. 10.

Cera Sanitaryware touched its life time high of Rs 9740 this year and currently trading around Rs. 7810, Cera is a 50-Bagger stock in 12 years from our initial coverage and is a 18X stock from our reiterated buy at Rs. 450, which was not liked by our subscribers.

The story does not end here, there is a long way to go. Our suggested stocks is with a view-point of 2-3 years at least and not just 6 to 12 months. If fundamentals of the company are intact, we would not suggest our members to do profit booking or exit. Investors who stayed away just because of high price simply missed yet another opportunity. We held Cera for long term and suggested complete profit booking to our members in the stock around 3500 - 4000 levels in 2017.

There is a general misconception among the investors that high priced stocks can't generate multibagger returns. They often think that high-priced stocks are overvalued. In terms of valuation, a 50 rupees stock may not be cheaper than that of a 1000 rupees stock. There is no co-relation between the valuation and market price of a stock. To understand whether a company is small or large, you must look at market cap of the company and not at stock price. To judge valuation you must have to look at Price to earning ratio, Price to book ratio, market cap to sales ratio etc.

Lets try to understand this with an example, Rajratan Global Wires share price was Rs. 54.77 on 30 Nov 2017 (stock split and bonus issue adjusted price, actual price was 639). Today the stock price is at Rs. 774 giving absolute returns of 1313% i.e. more than 14 times in 6 years against double digit return of Sensex in the same period. In fact, we already advised partial profit booking in Rajratan Global Wires to our Hidden Gems at Rs. 1300, booking returns of 2270% (almost 24X) in period of 5 years.

We suggested Buy on Rajratan Global Wires at price of Rs. 639 under Hidden Gems service on 30 Nov 2017 and if any of our subscribers have not invested in the company thinking he/she can get only 15 shares by investing Rs. 10,000 has made a big mistake. Today those 15 shares have increased to 175 shares on account of bonus shares issued by the company in the ratio of 4:3 in 2019 and later stock split of 1 shares into 5 shares (face value of Rs. 10 to Rs 2 per share) in March 2022. And the current share price of Rs. 774 is still very high for those who looks at low price stock. 

There are many examples like above by which we can illustrate that there’s nothing called high price. Multibagger returns is not dependent on the current market price of a stock, so don't be afraid of investing in high priced stock. You need to look at fundamentals like future growth prospects of the company, PE ratio, PB ratio, ROE, ROCE, debt on books, EV/EBITDA, cash reserves along with other parameters to judge a stock whether it is undervalued or overvalued. We agree with you that judging valuation is not an easy task. So, take expert’s advise when ever required.

Another misconception among investors is to buy more no. of shares. They often think that its better to buy more no. of shares of a low price scrip (ranging below Rs. 10 or say below Rs. 50) instead of buying less no. of shares of high priced stocks. They often think that low price stocks can generate multibagger return quickly. During last 5 years, we have reviewed many portfolio of our members under Wealth-Builder subscription, we have noticed that many of their portfolio is filled with such low-priced stocks and most of those are in great loss because of poor fundamentals. You may think that a two rupees stock can easily generate multibagger returns even if it touch to Rs. 10. At the same time don’t forget that the same stock can even come down to Rs. 0 levels which can evaporate all your investment giving you 100% loss! In terms of valuation a two thousand rupees stock may not be expensive than that of a two rupees stock.

Lets try to understand this also with a simple example, Lanco Infratech was a well-known company from Infrastructure sector. At the beginning of 2010 the stock was around Rs 55. After 10 years, it was hovering at just Rs 1.30 and today its not operational any more. Those who purchased the stock during 2010 are in 100% loss! Rs. 1 lakh invested in Lanco Infratech in Jan 2010 was valued at merely Rs. 2,000 in 2020, a complete wealth-destroyer! Isn't it? Those who bought this stock at levels of Rs. 30 and later again at Rs. 10 or Rs. 5 to average out thinking that stock has came down from all time highs of Rs. 85 are still waiting to get their buying price back. There are many such stocks like Suzlon Energy, GMR Infra, GVK Power and Infrastructure etc which have continuously destroyed wealth of investors over a period of last 5 to 10 years.

We do not state that all low price stocks are wealth-destroyers, it all depends on the fundamentals of the company. So, do ensure that you check out the fundamentals and valuations while investing in stocks instead of looking at stock price. Please get out of the misconception that low priced stocks will fly high faster giving you extra-ordinary returns. Always remember that stock price is just a barometer, actual valuations of a company can be determined by its fundamentals.

If you wish to invest in fundamentally strong micro, small and mid cap companies which can give you far superior returns compared to major indices like Sensex or Nifty in long term and help you creating wealth, you can join our services like Nano ChampsHidden Gems & Value Picks & Wealth-Builder.

The stocks we reveal through Nano ChampsHidden Gems & Value Picks  are companies that either under-researched or not covered by other stock brokers and research firms. We keep on updating our members on our past recommendation suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future outlook.

Below table indicates subscription services and discounts applicable on combo packs.

SARAL GYAN
SUBSCRIPTION SERVICE
ANNUAL 
SUBSCRIPTION PRICE
PAY VIA CARD
(3% CHARGES EXTRA)
Hidden GemsRs. 15,000
Value PicksRs. 10,000
15% @ 90 DaysRs. 5,000
Wealth-BuilderRs. 30,000
Combo 1: HG + VP + WB + 15%Rs. 60,000 48,000 (20% OFF)
Combo 2: HG + VP + 15%Rs. 30,000 25,000 (17% OFF)
Combo 3: HG + VPRs. 25,000 21,000 (16% OFF)
Combo 4: HG + 15%Rs. 20,000 17,500 (12% OFF)
Combo 5: VP + 15%Rs. 15,000 13,500 (10% OFF)

There is no combo option for Nano Champs, you need to opt for this service separately.

SUBSCRIPTION OPTION

PAY VIA CARD

(3% CHARGES EXTRA)

Nano Champs– 1 Year  - Rs 13.000

SUBSCRIBE

Nano Champs– 3  Year - Rs. 39,000 33,000 (-15%)

SUBSCRIBE


Simply choose the subscription service / combo subscription you would like to opt and click on SUBSCRIBE! link in above table to make online payment using your debit / credit card.

Do write to us at info@saralgyan.in in case of any queries, we will be delighted to assist you.

Regards,
Team - Saral Gyan 

Tuesday, November 21, 2023

Check Fundamentals & Not Share Price while Buying Stocks!

 Dear Reader,

Why is a stock that cost Rs. 50 cheaper than another stock priced at Rs. 10?

This question opens a point that often confuses beginning investors: The per-share price of a stock is thought to convey some sense of value relative to other stocks. Nothing could be farther from the truth.

In fact, except for its use in some calculations, the per-share price is virtually meaningless to investors doing fundamental analysis. If you follow the technical analysis route to stock selection, it’s a different story, but for now let’s stick with fundamental analysis.

The reason we aren’t concerned with per-share price is that it is always changing and, since each company has a different number of outstanding shares, it doesn’t give us a clue to the value of the company. For that number, we need the market capitalization or market cap number.

The market cap is found by multiplying the per-share price times the total number of outstanding shares. This number gives you the total value of the company or stated another way, what it would cost to buy the whole company on the open market.

Here’s an example:

Stock price: Rs. 50

Outstanding shares: 5 Crores 

Market cap: Rs. 50 x 50,000,000 = Rs. 250 Crores

To prove our opening sentence, look at this second example:

Stock price: Rs. 10

Outstanding shares: 30 Crores 

Market cap: Rs. 10 x 300,000,000 = Rs. 300 Crores

This is how you should look at these two companies for evaluation purposes. Their per-share prices tell you nothing by themselves.

What does market cap tell you?

First, it gives you a starting place for evaluation. When looking a stock, it should always be in a context. How does the company compare to others of a similar size in the same industry?

The market generally classifies stocks into three categories:

• Small Cap under Rs. 1000 Crores 

• Mid Cap Rs. 1000 - Rs. 10000 Crores

• Large Cap above Rs. 10000 Crores

Some analysts use different numbers and others add micro caps and mega caps, however the important point is to understand the value of comparing companies of similar size during your evaluation. You will also use market cap in your screens when looking for a certain size company to balance your portfolio. Don’t get hung up on the per-share price of a stock when making your evaluation. It really doesn't tell you much. Focus instead on the market cap to get a picture of the company’s value in the market place.

IMP Note: This article is written to safe-guard our readers who are new to stock market, and make them understand about the actual facts. We keep on receiving mails from our readers regarding the price range of stocks we covers under our Hidden Gems or Value Picks service. The misconception in mind of new investors is regarding the stock price, majority of them believe that if stock price is less, like below Rs. 50 or even below Rs. 10, changes of stock price appreciation is very high and they can buy more no. of shares rather than buying a limited no. of shares of high priced stock. 

We have a reader base covering almost all major states in India and from 20 other countries across globe. During the last 10 years we have interacted with several investors seeking multibagger return from stocks. 

It was 17th Dec 2011, we covered Cera Sanitaryware as Hidden Gem stock of the month at price of Rs 157, later it went up to Rs. 450 in period of 15 months. Based on strong quarterly numbers, attractive valuations and consistent performance, we suggested adding it up again in the range of 400-450 which was taken as a surprise by our members as we received several queries and feedback.

Below are some of the common queries of our subscribers which often lead them to opportunity losses.

1. How come a stock priced at Rs 450 can generate Multibagger returns?
2. Cera is almost 3 times moving from 170 to 450, why are you suggesting buy again?
3. Where is the room to generate Multibagger return from this level?
4. I don’t like such high-priced stock, please give me stocks priced below Rs. 100.
5. I want to buy more no. of shares, hence please recommend low price stocks below Rs. 10.

Cera Sanitaryware touched its life time high of Rs 8196 this year and currently trading around Rs. 7650, Cera is a 50-Bagger stock in 12 years from our initial coverage and is a 18X stock from our reiterated buy at Rs. 450, which was not liked by our subscribers.

The story does not end here, there is a long way to go. Our suggested stocks is with a view-point of 2-3 years at least and not just 6 to 12 months. If fundamentals of the company are intact, we would not suggest our members to do profit booking or exit. Investors who stayed away just because of high price simply missed yet another opportunity. We held Cera for long term and suggested complete profit booking to our members in the stock around 3500 - 4000 levels in 2017.

There is a general misconception among the investors that high priced stocks can't generate multibagger returns. They often think that high-priced stocks are overvalued. In terms of valuation, a 50 rupees stock may not be cheaper than that of a 1000 rupees stock. There is no co-relation between the valuation and market price of a stock. To understand whether a company is small or large, you must look at market cap of the company and not at stock price. To judge valuation you must have to look at Price to earning ratio, Price to book ratio, market cap to sales ratio etc.

Lets try to understand this with an example, Rajratan Global Wires share price was Rs. 54.77 on 30 Nov 2017 (stock split and bonus issue adjusted price, actual price was 639). Today the stock price is at Rs. 1225 giving absolute returns of 2137% i.e. more than 22 times within 5 years against double digit return of Sensex in the same period. 

We suggested Buy on Rajratan Global Wires at price of Rs. 639 under Hidden Gems service on 30 Nov 2017 and if any of our subscribers have not invested in the company thinking he/she can get only 15 shares by investing Rs. 10,000 has made a big mistake. Today those 15 shares have increased to 175 shares on account of bonus shares issued by the company in the ratio of 4:3 in 2019 and later stock split of 1 shares into 5 shares (face value of Rs. 10 to Rs 2 per share) in March 2022. And the current share price of Rs. 850 is still very high for those who looks at low price stock. We advised partial profit booking in Rajratan Global Wires to our Hidden Gems at Rs. 1300, booking returns of 2270% (almost 24X) in period of 5 years.

There are many examples like above by which we can illustrate that there’s nothing called high price. Multibagger returns is not dependent on the current market price of a stock, so don't be afraid of investing in high priced stock. You need to look at fundamentals like future growth prospects of the company, PE ratio, PB ratio, ROE, ROCE, debt on books, EV/EBITDA, cash reserves along with other parameters to judge a stock whether it is undervalued or overvalued. We agree with you that judging valuation is not an easy task. So, take expert’s advise when ever required.

Another misconception among investors is to buy more no. of shares. They often think that its better to buy more no. of shares of a low price scrip (ranging below Rs. 10 or say below Rs. 50) instead of buying less no. of shares of high priced stocks. They often think that low price stocks can generate multibagger return quickly. During last 5 years, we have reviewed many portfolio of our members under Wealth-Builder subscription, we have noticed that many of their portfolio is filled with such low-priced stocks and most of those are in great loss because of poor fundamentals. You may think that a two rupees stock can easily generate multibagger returns even if it touch to Rs. 10. At the same time don’t forget that the same stock can even come down to Rs. 0 levels which can evaporate all your investment giving you 100% loss! In terms of valuation a two thousand rupees stock may not be expensive than that of a two rupees stock.

Lets try to understand this also with a simple example, Lanco Infratech was a well-known company from Infrastructure sector. At the beginning of 2010 the stock was around Rs 55. After 10 years, it was hovering at just Rs 1.30 and today its not operational any more. Those who purchased the stock during 2010 are in 100% loss! Rs. 1 lakh invested in Lanco Infratech in Jan 2010 was valued at merely Rs. 2,000 in 2020, a complete wealth-destroyer! Isn't it? Those who bought this stock at levels of Rs. 30 and later again at Rs. 10 or Rs. 5 to average out thinking that stock has came down from all time highs of Rs. 85 are still waiting to get their buying price back. There are many such stocks like Suzlon Energy, GMR Infra, GVK Power and Infrastructure etc which have continuously destroyed wealth of investors over a period of last 5 to 10 years.

We do not state that all low price stocks are wealth-destroyers, it all depends on the fundamentals of the company. So, do ensure that you check out the fundamentals and valuations while investing in stocks instead of looking at stock price. Please get out of the misconception that low priced stocks will fly high faster giving you extra-ordinary returns. Always remember that stock price is just a barometer, actual valuations of a company can be determined by its fundamentals.

If you wish to invest in fundamentally strong micro, small and mid cap companies which can give you far superior returns compared to major indices like Sensex or Nifty in long term and help you creating wealth, you can join our services like Nano ChampsHidden Gems & Value Picks & Wealth-Builder.

The stocks we reveal through Nano ChampsHidden Gems & Value Picks  are companies that either under-researched or not covered by other stock brokers and research firms. We keep on updating our members on our past recommendation suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future outlook.

Regards,
Team - Saral Gyan

Tuesday, October 24, 2023

How to Value a Stock - Cheap or Expensive?

Dear Reader,

If you’re new to investing, learning how to choose stocks and investing in the stock market can be overwhelming. Probably the largest mistake that young investors make is to look at the price of a stock as a measure of its worth. In fact, the price of a stock is virtually worthless when trying to value a company.

So what metrics should investors use when evaluating a potential stock investment opportunity? While there are numerous factors to take into consideration, the most popular and well-known metric is known as the price to earnings ratio, or the P/E ratio. But before we get into explaining this ratio, let’s look at why the price of the stock doesn’t tell the whole story.

Stock Prices – Cheap Vs. Expensive

Think about something in your life that you know very well. Maybe you’re obsessed with computer upgrades and performance. You know everything there is to know about computers and when you go to a computer store; when you look at the prices and the specs, you truly know what represents a bargain.

If you were helping a friend pick out a computer, you might tell them that a computer on sale for Rs 20,000 may be a better bargain than a computer on sale for Rs. 18,000. Maybe the Rs. 20,000 computer has a bigger screen, more storage space, and Rs. 5000 of preloaded software on it. With the Rs. 18,000 computer, not only is the hardware pretty shoddy, but there is also no preloaded software, meaning you’ll have to shell out extra money once you buy the computer. You might say “you get more bang for your buck” with the Rs. 20,000 computer. It is this same line of thinking that should be applied to stocks.

Unfortunately, many young investors do not apply the same logic to stock picking. Instead, they look at a Rs. 1800 stock like TCS and call it expensive. So they head to a little known penny stock that is selling for Rs. 0.50 and buy it up like it’s pure gold. The fact of the matter is that if you only have Rs. 1800, there’s a good chance that you’ll make more money purchasing 1 share of TCS rather than 3,600 shares of that cheap company. Why? Because TCS is a much more stable company with not only a proven track record of making investors money, but also strong growth potential.

The P/E Ratio Defined

Now that we’ve fixed the flaw in the young investor’s logic, let’s look at how to measure value. It’s a little more complicated to evaluate stocks than it is to evaluate computers since there are so many different factors involved.

However, there is one metric which, while it doesn’t make up the entire story, offers an important piece of the puzzle when valuing a company: the price/earnings ratio, often referred to as the P/E ratio or P/E multiple. This ratio, while only one of many that sophisticated investors use, is the most popular and discussed ratio in many investment books.

So how does the P/E ratio work? Think of it this way: let’s say you are considering investing in two public companies, both of which are selling for Rs. 200 per share today. One way of deciding which company to invest your money in is examining how much you will need to pay for Rs. 10 of earnings from each company. If last year, Company A earned Rs. 50 per share and Company B earned only Rs. 40 for share, it would intuitively make sense to choose Company A over Company B since it represents a cheaper trading opportunity. Without even realizing it, you’ve made this decision by calculating each company’s P/E ratios.

The P/E ratio is calculated by taking the current price and dividing it by the earnings per share. In the example above, you would take the price of Rs. 200 and divide by Rs. 50 for Company A and Rs. 40 for Company B, yielding ratios of 4x and 5x, respectively. If you’re not good with math, you can also easily find the P/E ratio in the fundamental analysis section of your broker’s research screens for the stock you’re reviewing or on various stock market investment news and research sites.

Disadvantages of the P/E Ratio

While the P/E ratio is a valuable metric for investors, you don’t want to make the mistake of thinking that a P/E ratio alone tells the whole story. Here are the main limitations of the P/E ratio:

1. Healthy P/E ratios may differ between industries: The concept of using a set P/E ratio to determine if a stock is overpriced fails to take into account the individual nature of the underlying company. Stocks in high-growth industries like the technology industry tend to have higher P/E ratios. On the other hand, some industries such as utility companies tend to trade at much lower multiples. Before you can decide if a stock is under or overpriced, you need to take into consideration the industry in which it operates. Continuing with the example above, let’s say Company B was a high-growth tech company forecasted to earn Rs. 100 per share next year and Rs. 150 per share the following year, while Company A was a low-growth oil company that was forecasted to earn Rs. 60 per share next year and Rs. 70 per share the following year. Now that you have a fuller picture of the two companies, it becomes clear that Company B would in fact be the better company to invest in due to its massive growth potential. Company B’s stock price will likely skyrocket if the forecasts are correct, while Company A’s stock price may not budge by much over the next couple of years. Thus, by ignoring other aspects of the company, an investor might have falsely assumed that Company A represented the more valuable stock opportunity.

2. Fails to consider the debt of a company: The price of a stock reflects the equity value of a company. However, it is also important to consider how much debt the company holds. An investor should never ignore a company’s debt position when buying a stock since debt is a strong indicator of a company’s financial health and future.

3. Earnings can be manipulated easily: Clever accountants have a million and one ways to make companies look more attractive. This can involve changing depreciation schedules, using different inventory management strategies, and including non-recurring gains. These strategies are not limited to corrupt organizations, as firms are given some legal flexibility in how they choose to report their earnings. As a result, because companies have an incentive to make earnings look as attractive as possible, P/E ratios can be presented as being artificially low.

4. Growth companies trade at higher P/E ratios: Since P/E ratios represent not only a company’s current financial situation but also it’s future growth potential, growth stocks trade at significantly higher P/E multiples than value companies. Thus, without understanding what type of company you are considering as an investment, you might carelessly overlook some valuable growth companies simply because of their P/E ratios. In fact, some of the biggest winners of all time have been companies with high P/E ratios. According to Investors Business Daily, in a recent analysis, the top 95 companies had an average P/E ratio of 39 before gaining momentum and reaching an average P/E ratio of 87 at their peak. Yet according to the models of most investors who rely solely on P/E ratios, all of these companies would have been ruled out as being overpriced.

5. False assumption that low P/E ratios represent cheap trading opportunities: Many investors assume that a company trading at a P/E ratio must represent great value. As we know, because of many of the factors stated above, low P/E ratios do not necessarily make the best investments. For example, Suzlon was a company that was trading at single digit P/E ratios before it crashed.

P/E ratios are a valuable tool for investors, but they are not sufficient to identify the feasibility of an investment unless used in combination with other metrics and company characteristics.

Regardless of your opinion on the P/E ratio, you should always examine other ratios as well before buying a stock. These metrics, which help investors evaluate other aspects of a company, include Enterprise Value/EBITDA, Enterprise Value/EBIT, Enterprise Value/Revenue, Price/Cash Flow and Price/Book Ratio.

Final Word

The P/E ratio is a great start to understanding a company’s value proposition as a potential investment. With that said, don’t forget that there are many other ratios and factors to consider other than the P/E ratio. The P/E ratio is just one piece of the puzzle. And if you only take one lesson from this post, remember this nugget of information: the price of a stock is not an indicator to identify value of it!

If you have patience and want to add extra power in your portfolio, start investing some portion of your savings in fundamentally strong small and mid cap companies - Hidden Gems and Value Picks.

Moreover, if you have invested in stocks and believe that your investments are not performing well, subscribe to our Wealth-Builder service and get your portfolio reviewed by us. We will review fundamentals of the companies you are holding and guide you which stocks to hold and which to exit. We will also review your equity investments across sectors and companies to ensure that your portfolio allocation is right and outperforms major indices giving you better returns in medium to long term.

We do update our members in terms of profit booking / exits depending upon various factors like overall Industry / Sector outlook, fundamentals of the company, management action plan and annual performance in terms of top line, bottom line, operating margins and other important parameters.

Wish you happy & safe Investing!

Regards,
Team - Saral Gyan.