History has taught us that companies with strong businesses survive during tough times. Looking at ongoing crisis in NBFC sector, only the companies who followed conservative lending practices have survived recent crash. During these panic times in broader markets, there are businesses which we believe not only survive this tough environment but also emerge as winners going forward in medium to long run.
Market is giving one of the rare opportunity to get quality stocks at bargain prices. Remember, such opportunities do not last for long! Since beginning of 2018, we have seen severe correction in broader indices. As on date, BSE Small Cap & BSE Mid Cap Index is down by 32% & 21% respectively from their all time high made in January last year. Steep fall in broader indices have hurt sentiments and created panic for many of retail investors who got into market during last couple of years. Its important to know, whether you would be able to hold on your equity investments, think to exit if stock market tanks further or accumulate good companies available at reasonable to attractive valuations after a long time.
Its always wise to be greedy when others are fearful. Fall in stock prices of small and mid cap companies by 50% to 60% from their peaks use to happen during panic times, if a particular company delivers 3x to 5x or even 10x type of returns on your investments in period of 3 to 7 years, it can easily fall by 40% to 60% or even more from its 52 week high during tough times which arises due to profit / loss booking, series of negative events / news flows and severe sell off due to panic across markets. But good companies make a stronger come back once economy cycle starts its upturn. Though it was a combination of issues that affected the broader markets, we can largely peg this mayhem to 6 major reasons:
Small Cap Index has not delivered negative returns for 2 consecutive years in past 16 years
Whenever, Small Cap Index delivered significantly high negative returns in a particular year during last 16 years, it has delivered double digit positive returns the very next year. While Nifty and Sensex which are hovering near their life time high, Small & Mid Cap Index have underperformed by wide margin and is down by 30% and 21% respectively from their peak made in Jan 2018. The divergence between Sensex / Nifty and Small & Mid Cap Index will not last for long going forward considering valuations gap emerging between large caps in comparison to mid & small cap stocks.
- Sir John Templeton
Moreover, if you have invested in stocks and believe that your investments are not performing well, subscribe to our Wealth-Builder service and get your portfolio reviewed by us. We will review fundamentals of the companies you are holding and guide you which stocks to hold and which to exit. We will also review your equity investments across sectors and companies to ensure that your portfolio allocation is right and outperforms major indices giving you better returns in medium to long term.
We released our "Special Report - 6 Hidden Gems Stocks to Buy / Accumulate" on 30th Sept 2018 and mailed it to our Hidden Gems members. Similarly, we also released our "Special Report - 6 Value Picks Stocks to Buy / Accumulate" on 02nd Oct 2018 and shared it with our Value Picks members.
While short listing 6 stocks under each service i.e. Hidden Gems and Value Picks, we evaluated each company on the basis of I-B-M-V-E-D parameters (Industry, Business, Management, Valuations, Earnings Growth & Debt Management) and rated every parameter using a rating scale – E,V,G,F,P (E=Excellent, V=Very Good, G=Good, F=Fair, P=Poor)