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Monday, May 20, 2019

Are you Investing in Potential 5-Bagger Stock in 5 Years?

Dear Reader,

We are pleased to inform you that we recently released detailed report of a small cap company which offers unique investment opportunity with potential of delivering 5-Bagger returns over period of next 5 years. Below are some of the reasons considering which we believe the company offers multibagger investment opportunity currently available at attractive valuations with huge upside potential.

1. The company operates in non-cyclical business, has a moat with well established brands, and strong growth potential with rising demand of its products. Being in B2C business, rising disposable income and consumer preference shifting towards premium products will support company to achieve robust revenue growth and profitability over next 3 to 5 years.

2. Favourable developments in the sector, recession proof business catering to domestic demand, significant capacity addition in past, thrust on becoming a pan India player from regional player and launch of new products with focus on end consumer are some of the reasons which make this company a right investment opportunity for medium to long term investors.

3. The company has robust fundamentals as it enjoys strong cash flow from operationIts revenue and profitability has grown by more than 15% in the last 3 years, company’s bottom line is expected to grow well above 25% in coming years considering recent capacity addition and ongoing expansion with entry into new geographies. It has strong financials with ROE and ROCE of more than 15%. The balance sheet is strong with debt to equity ratio below 0.5 to support future growth.

4. The company is a small cap company with market capital to sales ratio of ~1.2, where as other mid size players are commanding market cap to sales ratio of ~3. In last 8 years, the company used to command market cap to sales ratio of 2.5 to 3 with higher price to book and PE ratio but due to severe correction over last 15 months, the company is now available at multi-year low valuations. 

5. The company is paying dividend every year and dividend yield is maximum at current price compared to all other listed players in the Industry. We expect company to pay similar dividend for FY18-19 and increase it over next year. However, possibility of higher dividend payout for FY18-19 itself cannot be ruled out considering increase in earnings per share over last 2 years compared to previous years. If management declares higher dividend payout, stock will get rerated sooner than later.

Moreover, while looking at trading volumes, we find that stock is getting accumulated since last few months and is on the verge of giving strong upside in short term with positive news flow.

1. The company has registered lowest trading volume in NSE over last few weeks in past two years, similarly volumes are significantly low in BSE also. Recently the company recorded lowest daily volumes in last 2 years. This indicates that buyers are waiting for lower prices to buy however there is no seller also to sell the stock at current price.

2. Delivery percentage of shares traded has significantly increased over last 2 years. In 2017, the delivery percentage to trading volumes was ranging between 5% to 30% whereas now with similar or lower volumes during last few months (much lower volumes compared to last year), delivery percentage is ranging between 50% to 80%.

3. Some of the Institution / big investors have invested in the stock during last 12 months keeping a long-term view considering improved business fundamentals and higher earning visibility, hence availability of shares in market is decreased. In such a case, any positive news flow from company / management can bring significant upside in stock price in near term.

4. Technically, stock has already made a bottom in Feb 2019 and is now trading near to its 50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average). We believe stock will move above its 200 EMA sooner than later and resume its uptrend delivering much higher returns over next few years. The stock has recently rallied around 30% from its recent lows, however stock price is still down by more than 50% from its high of last year.

5. The company’s stock price before announcement of Sept 2018 quarter results rallied by nearly 30% in 7 trading sessions. However, as company delivered results below street estimates, stock tanked giving up all its gain post results. We expect company to post much better results in March 2019 quarter and as stock is currently hovering at same price even after posting better numbers in Dec 2018 quarter, we believe it is already discounting all negatives at current level. Moreover, there is a possibility that before declaration of March quarter result, we may see pre-result rally once again like that of past.

To sum up, our recent recommendation under Potential 5-Bagger stock in 5 Years report is a great buy at current valuation and we presume it to be a wealth creator for our subscribers over next couple of years. The company not only offers significant upside in short term considering attractive valuations but also has the potential to create significant wealth by delivering upto 5x returns over next 3 to 5 years.

To receive our potential 5-Bagger stock along with the detailed research notes and relevant follow-up updates, you can subscribe to our Hidden Gems, Value Picks or Wealth-Builder service.

The small and mid cap rally ended in Jan 2018 amid concerns over high valuations, waning domestic flows after re-categorisation of mutual fund schemes by SEBI, liquidity crunch and corporate governance issues. From their peak levels last year, mid cap and small cap stocks have witnessed significant correction over the past 15 months in spite of better bottom line of mid and small cap index companies compared to large caps.

It’s interesting to note that profitability of mid and small caps jumped 50 percent and 27 percent respectively in last one year against 7 percent earnings growth for Nifty 50 stocks. However, while major indices Sensex & Nifty is hovering at all time high delivering returns of 15.2% and 12.2% respectively since 1st Jan 2018, BSE Mid Cap and Small Cap index is down delivering returns of -17.1% and -24.5% respectively during the same period. With divergence of ~40% since Jan 2018 between small caps and Sensex large cap stocks, its very likely that we can see strong out performance from small and mid-caps delivering significantly higher returns over next 12 to 24 months compared to large caps.

We believe broader market has already made its bottom in Feb 2019 and will show a significant recovery with rise in stock prices of small and mid caps based on earning growth in coming quarters. Broader market participation is expected to improve significantly once election uncertainty is over. That spells opportunity, as many quality stocks from the mid and small cap segments are still ruling at multi-year low valuations, offering buying opportunities. Hence, this is the best time to build up equity portfolio gradually by investing in high quality small and mid caps backed by strong business fundamentals.

The stocks we reveal through Hidden Gems & Value Picks are companies that either under-researched or not covered by other stock brokers and research firms. We keep on updating our members on our past recommendation suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future outlook. Wealth-Builder is our offline portfolio management service under which we suggest higher investment allocation in selective small & mid caps having strong fundamentals to build a robust and diversified portfolio.

Add power to your equity portfolio by investing your long term savings into best of small & mid cap stocks with our services Hidden GemsValue Picks and Wealth-Builder. Avail attractive discounts by subscribing to our combo packs. Below are the details of our annual subscription charges, simply click on SUBSCRIBE! link to subscribe to our services online using debit / credit card or net banking facility.

Hidden Gems
Rs. 10,000
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15% @ 90 Days
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Rs. 20,000
Combo 1: HG + VP + WB + 15%
Rs. 32,000
Combo 2: HG + VP + 15%
Rs. 16,000
Combo 3: HG + VP
Rs. 14,000
Combo 4: HG + 15%
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Combo 5: VP + 15%
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In case if you are not comfortable in subscribing online, you can make the payment through cheque / cash deposit / NEFT transfer in any of our bank and writing back to us sharing transaction details. Click here for bank details.

We also take this as an opportunity to inform our readers that our Combo - 1 (Annual subscription of Hidden Gems, Value Picks, 15% @ 90 Days & Wealth-Builder) is the best selling subscription service at Saral Gyan, we have registered maximum subscription of Combo 1 since beginning of this year followed by Combo 2 subscription. We keep on updating our members on our past recommendations suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future outlook.

Below are the details of our services:

1. Hidden Gems (Unexplored Multibagger Small Cap Stocks): Based on fundamental analysis, our equity analysts release one Hidden Gem research report every month with buy recommendation and share it with all Hidden Gems members. Stock finalized as Hidden Gem belongs to small / micro caps space with market cap of less than 500 Crores, expected returns from Hidden Gems is above 100% in period of 12 - 24 months. Once target is achieved, we inform our members whether they should continue to hold the stock or need to do partial / full profit booking. If fundamentals are intact and valuations are reasonable, we suggest to continue to hold the stock for long term for multibagger returns. Annual subscription charge of Hidden Gems is INR 10,000 under which you will receive total 12 Hidden Gems research reports (one on monthly basis). Click here to read more about Hidden Gems.

2. Value Picks (Mid Caps with Plenty of Upside Potential): Our equity analysts team consider Warren Buffet approach to short list stocks from mid cap segment as Value Picks. Market cap of Value Pick will range from 1000 crores to 10,000 crores. Holding period of Value Picks is 12 - 24 months and one can expect returns of 40-50%. Annual subscription charge of Value Picks is INR 6,000 under which you will receive total 12 Value Picks research reports (one on monthly basis). Click here to read more about Value Picks.

3. 15% @ 90 Days (Buy to Sell Stocks for Short Term Gain): Based on technical analysis, our team recommends one stock every month to our members. It’s a short term call under which you can expect returns of 15% within period of 90 Days. Annual subscription charge of 15% @ 90 Days is INR 4,000 under which you will receive 12 stock recommendations. We suggest lower allocation in 15% @ 90 Days stocks and higher allocation in Hidden Gems and Value Picks which are our portfolio stocks based on fundamental analysis.​ 15% @ 90 Days stocks recommendations are based on buy to sell and gain strategy, hence we suggest our members to book complete profits once target is achieved and exit in case target is not achieved or stock has broken its 2nd support level as per report. Click here to read more about 15% @ 90 Days.

4. Wealth-Builder (An Offline Portfolio Management Service): Wealth-Builder is our model portfolio of Rs. 10 lakhs and currently we are holding 16 stocks in our portfolio. We suggest higher allocation in our Wealth-Builder stocks which includes best of our Hidden Gems and Value Picks released during last couple of years. Our team suggest all our Wealth-Builder members to invest in the stocks which are part of our Wealth-Builder portfolio. Every month our team updates our Wealth-Builder members which stocks they need to buy / sell / hold with % allocation of these stocks in their portfolio, the suggested changes need to be replicated in the same proportion. Annual subscription charge of Wealth-Builder is INR 20,000 under which you will receive total 12-18 portfolio updates. We also review existing equity portfolio of our members and advise them which stocks to hold and which to exit based of fundamental analysis. Moreover, we do look at sector wise / stock wise allocation in the portfolio and advise in case of any corrective measure needs to be taken by increasing or decreasing the stock specific allocation. Our Wealth-Builder service is suitable for those investors who have an existing portfolio of at least 2 to 3 lakhs or planning to invest similar amount or more in equity market. Click here to read more about Wealth-Builder.

Do contact us in case of any queries, we will be delighted to assist you.

Wish you happy & safe Investing. 

Team - Saral Gyan