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SERVICES:        HIDDEN GEMS    |    VALUE PICKS    |    15% @ 90 DAYS    |    WEALTH-BUILDER


Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Multibagger Stocks - Hidden Gems Vs Small Cap Index

Dear Reader,

Century Plyboards is a leading player in the fast growing plywood and laminate segment, with an overall share of 25 per cent of the organised plywood market, which is estimated at Rs 4,500-4,800 crore. The organised plywood and laminate segment is growing at healthy double digits due to an improving demand environment and a shift towards branded products. As per our estimates, it can grow ahead of the industry, at 22% CAGR, over the next three to five years. 

In June quarter, net profit of Century Plyboards (India) rose 7.28% to Rs 43.05 crore in the quarter ended June 2016 as against Rs 40.13 crore during the previous quarter ended June 2015. Sales rose 10.10% to Rs 403.62 crore in the quarter ended June 2016 as against Rs 366.60 crore during the previous quarter ended June 2015.

Inspite of poor state of construction sector, Century managed to post reasonably better set of numbers in last financial year. In FY 2015-16, net profit rose 11.44% to Rs 168.07 crore as against Rs 150.82 crore during the previous year ended March 2015. Sales rose 6.08% to Rs 1646.86 crore in the year ended March 2016 as against Rs 1552.47 crore during the previous year ended March 2015.

You might be surprised to know the fact that Century Plyboards was one of the star performer - multibagger stock of 2014, a 9-Bagger stock rising about 800 percent in just 12 months. Those who entered in the stock before fund managers started accumulating it in big chunk may have a 50-Bagger stock in next 3 to 5 years as still there is lot of scope for business growth during next couple of years.

Now, lets take another example of little known company Mayur Uniquoters which is our 8-Bagger stock. We recommended this stock 5 years back at price of Rs. 56 (adjusted price after 2 bonus issues and stock split in last 3 years, actual recommended price was Rs. 448) and today it’s available at Rs. 440 giving absolute returns of 715%. You might be surprised to know that Mayur Uniquoter is a 146-Bagger stock for investors who invested in it 8 years back. Investment of Rs. 1 lakh in Mayur Uniquoters in Jan 2009 is valued at more than Rs. 1 Crores and 46 lakhs today, that's too excluding dividend payouts. Mind boggling, isn't it? It's a fact! Company has posted strong growth YoY and rewarded share holders in big way, Company was trading at Rs. 3 (bonus / split adjusted price) with market cap of merely 13 crores in Jan 2009, today market cap of the company is 2,041 crores.

Mayur Uniquoters is still a great value stock considering its consistent performance and leadership position in artificial leather industry and robust demand for its products by esteemed clients from auto and footwear industry.

Do you own such stocks which can give you similar returns in future?

The number of small-cap stocks is large and finding a quality stock that can give high returns over a long period is tough even for equity analysts. One reason is that such stocks usually have a short history and are not tracked by many analysts and brokerage houses. Then there are risks such as low liquidity, governance concerns and competition from larger players.

Scores of once small companies have over the years grown big, giving investors a 30-50 per cent annual return over 10-15 years and creating fortunes for investors. However, more often than not, we find ourselves at the wrong side of the fence and regret our inability to spot such stocks on time.

If these factors scare you but you still want to gain from the upside potential of such stocks, Saral Gyan Hidden Gems and Value Picks is an ideal choice for you.

It’s a fact that 38 Hidden Gems out of 52 released by our equity analysts in last 6 years (till Dec'15) have given more than 100% returns.

Buying Strategy for Small Caps

1. Go for companies with low debt ratio (preferably less than one)

2. A high interest coverage ratio (above 3x) and a high return on equity are big advantages

3. Avoid companies with huge liabilities in the form of foreign currency convertible bonds / external commercial borrowings

4. Look at the quality of the management, its governance standards and how investor-friendly the company is.

5. Mid-cap and small-cap companies can be future market leaders, so be patient with your investments

Those who wish to invest in small-cap stocks should do so only if they have a long investment horizon and tolerance for volatility. Small-cap stocks suffer the steepest falls in a bear market and rise the most in a bull market. An investor should stay invested for at least three-five years to allow their portfolio to gain from at least one bull run.

Benefits of Investing in Small Caps

1. Huge growth potential: The first and the most important advantage that a small cap stock gives you is their high growth potential. Since these are small companies they have great scope to rise as opposed to already large companies.

2. Low Valuations: Usually small cap stocks are available at lower valuations compared to mid & large caps. Hence, if you invest in good small cap companies at initial stage and wait for couple of years,  you will see price appreciation not only because of growth in top line and bottom line but also due to rerating which happens with increase in market capital of the company.

3. Early Entrance Advantage: Most of the fund house and institutions do not own small caps with low market cap due to less liquidity which make it difficult for them to own sufficient no. of shares. This gives retail investors an opportunity to be an early entrant to accumulate such companies shares. When company grows in market cap by delivering consistent growth and becomes more liquid, entry of fund houses and institutions push the share prices up giving maximum gains to early entrants.  

4. Under–Researched: Small cap stocks are often given the least attention by the analysts who are more interested in the large companies. Hence, they are often under - recognized and could be under-priced thus giving the investor the opportunity to benefit from these low prices.

5. Emerging Sectors: In a developing economy where there are several new business models and sectors emerging, the opportunity to pick new leaders can be hugely beneficial. Also the disruptive models in the new age is leading to more churn and faster growth amongst the nimble footed smaller companies.

Concerns while Investing in Small Caps

1. Risk: The first and the most important disadvantage a small cap stock is the high level of risk it exposes an investor to. If a small cap company has the potential to rise quickly, it even has the potential to fall. Owing to its small size, it may not be able to sustain itself thereby leading the investor into great loses. After all, the bigger the company, the harder it is for it to fall.

2. Volatility: Small cap stocks are also more volatile as compared to large cap stocks. This is mainly because they have limited reserves against hard times. Also, it in the event of an economic crisis or any change in the company administration could lead to investors dis-investing thereby leading to a fall in prices.

3. Liquidity: Since investing in small cap stocks is mainly a decision depending upon one’s ability to undertake risk, a small cap stock can often become illiquid. Hence, one should not depend upon them for an important life goal.

4. Lack of information: As opposed to a large cap company, the analysts do not spend enough time studying the small cap companies. Hence, there isn’t enough information available to the investor so that he can study the company and decide about it future prospects.

Saral Gyan team do take care of above concerns by doing in-depth research and analysis of small cap companies before releasing Hidden Gems research reports with buy recommendation. Its sincere efforts, dedication and passion of our equity analysts that 38 out of 52 Hidden Gems released by us during last 6 years (till Dec'15) have given more than 100% returns to our members. In fact 28 out of these 38 stocks have given returns in the range of 200% to 1900%.

Below is the performance update of Hidden Gems stocks released in 2014 compared to returns given by small cap index:
We are pleased to share with our readers that 8 Hidden Gems out of 11 released in 2014 have already achieved their target price giving more than 100% returns to our members in period of 12 to 24 months. Hidden Gems stocks - 2014 average returns as on date is 186.1% compared to small cap index average returns of 47.2%, hence outperforming small cap index by whopping 138.9%.

Similarly, if we look at performance of Hidden Gems stocks released in 2015, we are pleased to inform you that our Hidden Gems stocks have outperformed small cap index by wide percentage points.
Hidden Gems - 2015 as on date average returns is 73.4% compared to small cap index average returns of  18.9% in 2015, outperforming small cap index by 54.6%.

Moreover, if we look at performance of Hidden Gems stocks released in 2016 so far, we are glad to share that our Hidden Gems stocks continue to outperform small cap index since beginning of this year.
Hidden Gems - 2016 as on date average returns is 47.5% compared to small cap index average returns of  19% in 2016, outperforming small cap index by 28.4%.

If you have patience and want to add extra power in your portfolio, start investing some portion of your savings in fundamentally strong small and mid cap companies - Hidden Gems & Value Picks.

The stocks we reveal through Hidden Gems & Value Picks are companies that either under-researched or not covered by other stock brokers and research firms. We keep on updating our members on our past recommendation suggesting them whether to hold / buy or sell stocks on the basis of company's performance and future outlook.

We are pleased to inform that we are celebrating this festive season by offering maximum benefit to our members. You can avail discounts up to 30% and valuable freebies on our subscription services under Saral Gyan Dussehra Diwali Offer of the Year . Subscribe to our services and get rewarded by making smart investment decision in equities.

Attractive discounts & valuable freebies which make this festive season special for our readers are as under:

1. Discount up to 30% on combo pack subscription (valid up to 2nd Nov'16 only)
2. Rs. 1 Lakh Diwali Muhurat Portfolio of 10 Stocks (to be released on 30th Oct'16)
3. Hidden Gems Flash Back Report (released on 1st Aug'16)
4. Value Picks Flash Back Report (released on 13th Sept'16)
5. Existing Portfolio Health Check Up under Wealth-Builder Subscription
6. Saral Gyan eBook - "How to Grow your Savings?" worth Rs. 599 for Free.

Below table indicates subscription services and discounted prices.

Saral Gyan Dussehra - Diwali Offer of the Year 2016
Hidden GemsRs. 7500 6750 / $ 150 135 
Value PicksRs. 5000 4500 / $ 100 90
Wealth-BuilderRs. 15000 13500 / $ 300 270
Combo 1: HG + VP + WB + 15%Rs. 30000 21000 / $ 600 420
Combo 2: HG + VP + 15%Rs. 15000 11000 / $ 300 220
Combo 3: HG + VPRs. 12500 10000 / $ 250 200
Combo 4: HG + 15%Rs. 10000 8500 / $ 200 170
Combo 5: VP + 15%Rs. 7500 6750 / $ 150 135

Simply choose the subscription service / combo subscription you would like to opt and click on SUBSCRIBE! link in above table to make online payment using your debit / credit card or net banking facility. In case you are not comfortable in subscribing online, click here to know about our other payment options and bank details.

Do contact us in case of any queries, we will be delighted to assist you.

Wish you happy & safe Investing.

Team - Saral Gyan.