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Saturday, January 9, 2016

Hidden Gems Continue to Shine in Falling Market

Dear Reader,

Benchmark indices made new milestones in March 2015 with the Nifty hitting the 9,100-mark and the Sensex moving past 30,000 levels for the first time and later seen a healthy correction of more than 15% in later part of the year 2015.

At current situation, how does one know the right stock to invest in and that too at the right price which will ensure strong returns in the long term? This will be a question that will be the uppermost in the minds of most investors wanting to allocate part of their funds towards stocks. Especially in light of the heightened volatility in the markets in the past.

For instance, take a look at the period between 2005 and early 2008. During that time, there was a general sense of euphoria prevailing in India what with the country consistently logging in growth rates of 9% plus and the stock markets zooming to 21,000 levels. And then this optimism snapped.

The global financial crisis reared its ugly head and sent global economic growth and world stock markets including India into a tailspin. Suddenly there was nervousness all around. Forget bad stocks with bad fundamentals, retail investors in India were loathe to put in their money even in good companies available at attractive prices fearing that prices will fall down further. Then 2013 dawned, signs of recovery began to be noticeable and stock markets surged once again. And with stable government place, major indices Sensex and Nifty made all time highs in March last year and seen a healthy correction in later part of 2015 and in beginning of 2016 in absence of major reforms and global woes.

Corrections in bull market are healthy and give opportunity to invest. Bull markets do test your patience and conviction. If you expect a straight-line  appreciation in stock markets, that is not going to happen. Profit bookings at regular intervals bound to bring the indices lower. A lot of the people who were left on the sidelines when the move was too fast over May 2014 and the rest of last year, now market is giving them some opportunities to re-enter.

The idea really is not to time the markets. That is a feat best left to speculators. For long term investors, even at present when overall valuations of companies seem on the moderate side, there will still be some stocks that they can look to add on to their portfolios. These stocks if picked at the right price by proven approaches can turn into multi-bagger opportunities.

We are pleased to share that Hidden Gems (Unexplored Multibagger Small Cap Stocks)  recommended by our equity analysts in 2015 have outperformed small and cap index by wide percentage points ensuring much better returns for our members.

Below is the performance update of small cap stocks recommended by us in 2015 under our Hidden Gems subscription service:

Hidden Gems Stocks 2015 Vs Small Cap Index:
As illustrated in the table above, average returns (as on date) of Hidden Gems stocks released in 2015 is 40.5% compared to small cap index average returns of 3.6%, Hidden Gems of 2015 are outperforming small cap index by 36.9%.

That's not all, our Hidden Gems 2014 also outperformed small cap index by whopping 73.7% giving average returns of 102%.

Hidden Gems Stocks 2014 Vs Small Cap Index:
Average returns (as on date) of Hidden Gems stocks released in 2014 is 102% compared to small cap index average returns of 28.3%.

Investing in Small Caps

The number of small-cap stocks is large and finding a quality stock that can give high returns over a long period is tough even for equity analysts. One reason is that such stocks usually have a short history and are not tracked by many analysts and brokerage houses. Then there are risks such as low liquidity, governance concerns and competition from larger players.

Scores of once small companies have over the years grown big, giving investors a 30-50 per cent annual return over 10-15 years and creating fortunes for investors. However, more often than not, we find ourselves at the wrong side of the fence and regret our inability to spot such stocks on time.

If these factors scare you but you still want to gain from the upside potential of such stocks, Saral Gyan Hidden Gems and Value Picks is an ideal choice for you.

It’s a fact that 32 Hidden Gems out of 50 released by our equity analysts in last 5 years (till Oct'15) have given more than 100% returns.

Buying Strategy for Small Caps

1. Go for companies with low debt ratio (preferably less than one)

2. A high interest coverage ratio (above 3x) and a high return on equity are big advantages

3. Avoid companies with huge liabilities in the form of foreign currency convertible bonds / external commercial borrowings

4. Look at the quality of the management, its governance standards and how investor-friendly the company is.

5. Mid-cap and small-cap companies can be future market leaders, so be patient with your investments

Those who wish to invest in small-cap stocks should do so only if they have a long investment horizon and tolerance for volatility. Small-cap stocks suffer the steepest falls in a bear market and rise the most in a bull market. An investor should stay invested for at least three-five years to allow their portfolio to gain from at least one bull run.

Benefits of Investing in Small Caps

1. Huge growth potential: The first and the most important advantage that a small cap stock gives you is their high growth potential. Since these are small companies they have great scope to rise as opposed to already large companies.

2. Low Valuations: Usually small cap stocks are available at lower valuations compared to mid & large caps. Hence, if you invest in good small cap companies at initial stage and wait for couple of years,  you will see price appreciation not only because of growth in top line and bottom line but also due to rerating which happens with increase in market capital of the company.

3. Early Entrance Advantage: Most of the fund house and institutions do not own small caps with low market cap due to less liquidity which make it difficult for them to own sufficient no. of shares. This gives retail investors an opportunity to be an early entrant to accumulate such companies shares. When company grows in market cap by delivering consistent growth and becomes more liquid, entry of fund houses and institutions push the share prices up giving maximum gains to early entrants.  

4. Under–Researched: Small cap stocks are often given the least attention by the analysts who are more interested in the large companies. Hence, they are often under - recognized and could be under-priced thus giving the investor the opportunity to benefit from these low prices.

5. Emerging Sectors: In a developing economy where there are several new business models and sectors emerging, the opportunity to pick new leaders can be hugely beneficial. Also the disruptive models in the new age is leading to more churn and faster growth amongst the nimble footed smaller companies.

Concerns while Investing in Small Caps

1. Risk: The first and the most important disadvantage a small cap stock is the high level of risk it exposes an investor to. If a small cap company has the potential to rise quickly, it even has the potential to fall. Owing to its small size, it may not be able to sustain itself thereby leading the investor into great loses. After all, the bigger the company, the harder it is for it to fall.

2. Volatility: Small cap stocks are also more volatile as compared to large cap stocks. This is mainly because they have limited reserves against hard times. Also, it in the event of an economic crisis or any change in the company administration could lead to investors dis-investing thereby leading to a fall in prices.

3. Liquidity: Since investing in small cap stocks is mainly a decision depending upon one’s ability to undertake risk, a small cap stock can often become illiquid. Hence, one should not depend upon them for an important life goal.

4. Lack of information: As opposed to a large cap company, the analysts do not spend enough time studying the small cap companies. Hence, there isn’t enough information available to the investor so that he can study the company and decide about it future prospects.

Saral Gyan team do take care of above concerns by doing in-depth research and analysis of small cap companies before releasing Hidden Gems research reports with buy recommendation. Its sincere efforts, dedication and passion of our equity analysts that 32 out of 50 Hidden Gems released by us during last 5 years (till Oct'15) have given more than 100% returns to our members. In fact 22 out of these 32 stocks have given returns in the range of 200% to 1900%.

At Saral Gyan, team of equity analysts keep on evaluating small and mid cap stocks to explore the best Hidden Gems and Value Picks of stock market. Saral Gyan - Hidden Gems and Value Picks are the small and mid cap stocks with high probability to become multi-bagger stocks in future and a path for our investors to create wealth through equity investments in a long run.

Time has shown that smart investors have made their fortune by investing in equities in long term. None other asset class can match giving you such extra ordinary returns. Yes, its important for you to invest in right set of companies at right price. 

If you want your Money to Grow, Equities is the only Way to Go for long term. If you think to invest in stocks for period of 3 months or 6 months, we suggest you to stay out of stock market because you are not investing, you are betting on volatility of stock market which could be risky. 

Its our mission to ensure that you reap the best returns on your investment, our objective is not only to grow your investments at a healthy rate but also to protect your capital during market downturns.

If you have patience and want to add extra power in your portfolio, start investing some portion of your savings in fundamentally strong small and mid cap companies - Hidden Gems & Value Picks.

Subscribe to Hidden Gems & Value Picks and start investing systematically. Avail attractive discounts by subscribing to our combo packsclick here for details.

IMP Note: Release of Hidden Gem stock of Dec'15 was delayed, it will be released by end of the day on Sunday, 10th Jan'16.

Do contact us in case of any queries, we will be delighted to assist you. 

Wish you happy & safe Investing. 

Team - Saral Gyan