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Sunday, September 19, 2010

Sensex Inching Towards All Time High Zone

We expect the market to remain firm as even advance tax numbers were higher than that of last year, with the positivity from the global front, we are steadily approaching near the all-time high zone and are likely to extend the up move in the coming weeks with required consolidation for the sustainable move.

In the past week, Indian markets continued their strong momentum and scaled new highs. The Sensex and Nifty reached levels last seen in January, 2008, backed by robust inflows from FIIs.

The momentum of the market has been very strong. It is likely to remain so unless there is any significant negative development in the global space. 

Profit-booking cannot be ruled out in the coming days, as the market has risen very fast in recent sessions and many blue-chip stocks are trading at lifetime high levels. However, those corrections should be taken as an opportunity to get into the market.

The market would be keenly watching the meeting of the US Federal Reserve scheduled on September 30. The US Federal Reserve is expected to launch a stimulus package at its meeting, seeing the worrisome situation of high unemployment and weakness in construction activity as indicated by the latest Fed Beige book finding. Though any rate hike is not expected, assessment of the economy and indication of future steps would be important for market direction.

The market remained positive in four out of five trading days in the previous week.

The Sensex ended the week at its best level since January 17, 2008. During the week, the Sensex recorded a gain of 4.2 per cent, its best weekly rise so far this year. The market is sustaining the rally as inflows from overseas investors is coming in relentlessly and in the coming days too, this rising spree is likely to continue.

FIIs infused a whopping Rs 11,300 crore (or $2.43 billion) into domestic equities in the first fortnight of the current month, taking their total investment so far to over Rs 70,000 crore.